CW3E AR Update: 19 November Outlook
November 19, 2018
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Update on the Multiple ARs forecast to Impact California this Week
- Forecast confidence in the onset, duration, and magnitude of AR conditions has increased since the last update on 16 Nov.
- The GEFS is currently suggesting that the 2nd AR could bring moderate AR conditions (IVT 500–750 kg m–1 s–1 ) to coastal CA
- NOAA WPC 1-5 precipitation accumulations have increased to ~6 inches over portions of Northern California
- The precipitation may bring much needed relief to the currently active fires and smoky conditions over CA
Click IVT or IWV image to see loop of 0-138 hour GFS forecast
Valid 1200 UTC 19 November – 1200 UTC 25 November 2018
Summary provided by C. Hecht, F. M. Ralph, B. Kawzenuk, J. Kalansky; 3 PM PT 19 November 2018
*Outlook products are considered experimental