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Top Left: Box plot of 3 hourly 2-meter temperature (°F) from the GFS or ECMWF ensemble. Bottom Left: Probability of 2-meter temperature exceeding various thresholds (threshold defined by colorbar on bottom) calculated by the number of ensemble members predicting temperature over each threshold at each forecast lead time. Bottom Right: Three hour 2-meter temperature from each ensemble member shaded according to scale. Gray shading represents missing data. All panels valid at chosen location shown by yellow dot in top right map.
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