Peer Reviewed Journal Articles

Publications listed here are authored by one or more CW3E members and are peer reviewed.

| Peer Reviewed Articles | Book Chapters | Atmospheric Rivers Book | Public Reports |

Brodeur, Z. P., Delaney, C., Whitin, B., & Steinschneider, S. (2024). Synthetic forecast ensembles for evaluating forecast informed reservoir operations. Water Resources Research, 60(2), e2023WR034898. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023WR034898

Bromwich, D. H., Gorodetskaya, I. V., Carpentier, S., Alexander, S., Bazile, E., Heinrich, V. J., Massonnet, F., Powers, J. G., Carrasco, J. F., Cayette, A., Choi, T., Chyhareva, A., Colwell, S. R., Cordeira, J. M., Cordero, R. R., Doerenbecher, A., Durán-Alarcón, C., French, W. J. R., Gonzalez-Herrero, S., Guyot, A., Haiden, T., Hirasawa, N., Imazio, P. R., Kawzenuk, B., Krakovska, S., Lazzara, M. A., Litell, M. F., Manning, K. W., Norris, K., Park, S., Ralph, F. M., Rowe, P. M., Sun, Q., Vitale, V., Wille, J. D., Zhang, Z., & Zou, X. (2024). Winter Targeted Observing Periods during the Year of Polar Prediction in the Southern Hemisphere (YOPP-SH). Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (published online ahead of print 2024). https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0249.1

DeFlorio, M. J., Sengupta, A., Castellano, C. M., Wang, J., Zhang, Z., Gershunov, A., Guirguis, K., Niño, R. L., Clemesha, R. E. S., Pan, M., Xiao, M., Kawzenuk, B., Gibson, P. B., Scheftic, W., Broxton, P. D., Switanek, M. B., Yuan, J., Dettinger, M. D., Hecht, C. W., Cayan, D. R., Cornuelle, B. D., Miller, A. J., Kalansky, J., Delle Monache, L., Ralph, F. M., Waliser, D. E., Robertson, A. W., Zeng, X., DeWitt, D. G., Jones, J., & Anderson, M. L. (2024). From California’s Extreme Drought to Major Flooding: Evaluating and Synthesizing Experimental Seasonal and Subseasonal Forecasts of Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers and Extreme Precipitation during Winter 2022/23. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105(1), E84–E104. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0208.1

Gan, Y., Zhang, Y., Kongoli, C., & Pan, M. (2024). The role of forcing and parameterization in improving snow simulation in the Upper Colorado River Basin using the National Water Model. Water Resources Research, 60(8), e2023WR035303. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023WR035303

Ghazvinian, M., Delle Monache, L., Afzali Gorooh, V., Steinhoff, D., Sengupta, A., Hu, W., Simpson, M., Weihs, R., Papadopoulos, C., Mulrooney, P., Kawzenuk, B., Mascioli, N., & Ralph, F. M. (2024). Deep Learning of a 200-member Ensemble with a Limited Historical Training to Improve the Prediction of Extreme Precipitation Events. Monthly Weather Review, 152(7), 1587-1605. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-23-0277.1

Guirguis, K., Hatchett, B., Gershunov, A., DeFlorio, M., Clemesha, R., Brandt, W. T., Haleakala, K., Castellano, C. Niño, R. L., Tardy, A., Anderson, M., & Ralph, F. M. (2024). Reinterpreting ENSO's role in modulating impactful precipitation events in California. Geophysical Research Letters, 51(14), e2024GL110326. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL110326

Hale, M. L., Merrifield, M. A., Clemesha, R. E. S., Gershunov, A., Guirguis, K., Benmarhnia, T., et al. (2024). Mean summer land temperatures in the Southern California coastal zone: Connections with ocean processes. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 129(14), e2023JD040188. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD040188

Hansen, N., Orr, A., Zou, X., Boberg, F., Bracegirdle, T. J., Gilbert, E., Langen, P. L., Lazzara, M. A., Mottram, R., Phillips, T., Price, R., Simonsen, S. B., & Webster, S. (2024). The importance of cloud properties when assessing surface melting in an offline-coupled firn model over Ross Ice shelf, West Antarctica. The Cryosphere, 129(6), 2897-2916. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-2897-2024

Higgins, T. B., Subramanian, A. C., Chapman, W. E., Lavers, D. A., & Winters, A. C. (2024). Subseasonal Potential Predictability of Horizontal Water Vapor Transport and Precipitation Extremes in the North Pacific. Weather and Forecasting, 39(6), 833-846. https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-23-0170.1

Hsu, T.-Y., Mazloff, M. R., Gille, S. T., Freilich, M. A., Sun, R., & Cornuelle, B. D. (2024). Response of sea surface temperature to atmospheric rivers. Nature Communications, 15, 5018. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-48486-9

Jézéquel, A., Bastos, A., Wilson, A. M., Ramos, A. M., Shepherd, T. G., Stuart-Smith, R., Kimutai, J., Moemken, J., Zscheischler, J., Faranda, D., Lehner, F., Le Grix, N., Sippel, S., Bevacqua, E., Rufat, S., D'Andrea, F., Lloyd, E. A., & Van Loon, A. F. (2024). Broadening the scope of anthropogenic influence in extreme event attribution. Environmental Research Climate (published online ahead of print 2024). https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/ad7527

Leicht, T. C., & Bosart, L. F. (2024). Assessment of the Dynamical Linkages and Flow Evolution Governing Multiple Extreme Weather Events Over Western North America in February 2019. Monthly Weather Review (published online ahead of print 2024). https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-24-0040.1

Li, L., Cannon, F., Mazloff, M. R., Subramanian, A. C., Wilson, A. M., & Ralph, F. M. (2024). Impact of atmospheric rivers on Arctic sea ice variations. The Cryosphere, 18(1), 121–137, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-121-2024

Lin, W., Norris, J. R. , DeFlorio, M. J., & Ralph, F. M. (2024). Local and Object-based Perspectives on Atmospheric Rivers Making Landfall on the Western North American Coastline. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 25(5), 673-688. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-22-0155.1

Martens, H. R., Lau, N., Swarr, M. J., Argus, D. F., Cao, Q., Young, Z. M., Borsa, A. A., Pan, M., Wilson, A. M., Knappe, E., Ralph, F. M., & Gardner, W. P. (2024). GNSS Geodesy Quantifies Water‐Storage Gains and Drought Improvements in California Spurred by Atmospheric Rivers. Geophysical Research Letters, 51(13), e2023GL107721.https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL107721

Nash, D., Rutz, J. J., & Jacobs, A. (2024). Atmospheric rivers in Southeast Alaska: Meteorological conditions associated with extreme precipitation. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 129,(4), e2023JD039294. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD039294

Prescott, A. B., McGuire, L. A., Jun, K. S., Barnhart, K. R. and Oakley, N. S., 2024. Probabilistic assessment of postfire debris-flow inundation in response to forecast rainfall. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 24(7), 2359-2374. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2359-2024

Rampal, N., Hobeichi, S., Gibson, P. B., Baño-Medina, J., Abramowitz, G., Beucler, T., González-Abad, J., Chapman, W., Harder, P., & Gutiérrez, J. M. (2024). Enhancing Regional Climate Downscaling Through Advances in Machine Learning. Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems, 3(2), 230066. https://doi.org/10.1175/AIES-D-23-0066.1

Su, L., Lettenmaier, D. P., Pan, M., & Bass, B. (2024). Improving runoff simulation in the Western United States with Noah-MP and variable infiltration capacity. Hydrology and Earth Systems Science, 28(13), 3079–3097. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-3079-2024

Taylor, P. E., Brodeur, Z. P., Steinschneider, S., Kucharski, J., & Herman, J. D. (2024). Variability, attributes, and drivers of optimal forecast-informed reservoir operating policies for water supply and flood control in California. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 150(10), 05024010. https://doi.org/10.1061/JWRMD5.WRENG-6471

Thomas, M. A., Michaelis, A. C., Oakley, N. S., Kean, J. W., Gensini, V., A., & Ashley, W. S. (2024). Rainfall intensification amplifies exposure of American Southwest to conditions that trigger postfire debris flows. npj Natural Hazards, 1, 14. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44304-024-00017-8

Wang, J., DeFlorio, M. J., Gershunov, A., Guirguis, K., Delle Monache, L., & Ralph, F. M. (2024). Association of western US compound hydrometeorological extremes with Madden-Julian oscillation and ENSO interaction. Communications Earth & Environment, 5, 314. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01449-w

Zeng, X., Su, H., Hristova-Veleva, S., Posselt, D. J., Atlas, R., Brown, S. T., Dixon, R. D., Fetzer, E., Galarneau Jr., T. J., Hardesty, M., Jiang, J. H., Kangaslahti, P. P. Ouyed, A., Pagano, T. S., Reitebuch, O., Roca, R.., Stoffelen, A., Tucker, S., Wilson, A., Wu, L., & Yanovsky, I. (2024). Vientos - A A New Satellite Mission Concept for 3D Wind Measurements by Combining Passive Water Vapor Sounders with Doppler Wind Lidar. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105(2), E357-E369. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0283.1

Zheng, M., Monache, L. D., Wu, X., Kawzenuk, B., Ralph, F. M., Zhu, Y., Torn, R., Tallapragada, V. S., Zhang, Z., Wu, K., & Wang, J. (2024). Impact of Atmospheric River Reconnaissance Dropsonde Data on the Assimilation of Satellite Radiance Data in GFS. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology (published online ahead of print 2024). https://doi.org/10.1175/JTECH-D-23-0167.1

Zheng, M., Torn, R., Delle Monache, L,. Doyle, J., Ralph F., M., Tallapragada, V., Davis, C., Steinhoff., D., Wu, X., Wilson, A., Papadopoulos, C. & Mulrooney, P. (2024). An Assessment of Dropsonde Sampling Strategies for Atmospheric River Reconnaissance. Monthly Weather Review, 152(3), 811-835. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-23-0111.1

Afzali Gorooh, V., and Coauthors, 2023: Advances in Precipitation Retrieval and Applications from Low Earth Orbiting Satellite Information. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0229.1, in press

Battula, S. B., Siems, S., Mondal, A., & Ghosh, S. (2023). Aerosol-Heavy Precipitation Relationship within Monsoonal Regimes in the Western Himalayas. Atmospheric Research, 288, 106728. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106728

Badrinath, A., Delle Monache, L., Hayatbini, N., Chapman, W., Cannon, F., & Ralph, M. (2023). Improving Precipitation Forecasts with Convolutional Neural Networks. Weather and Forecasting, 38(2), 291-306. https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0002.1

Botterill, T. E., & McMillan, H. K. (2023). Using machine learning to identify hydrologic signatures with an encoder–decoder framework. Water Resources Research, 59, e2022WR033091. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022WR033091

Castellano, C. M., DeFlorio, M. J., Gibson, P. B., Delle Monache, L., Kalansky, J. F., Wang, J., Guirguis, K., Gershunov, A., Ralph, F. M., Subramanian, A. C., & Anderson, M. L. (2023). Development of a statistical subseasonal forecast tool to predict California atmospheric rivers and precipitation based on MJO and QBO activity. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128(6), e2022JD037360. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD037360

Cayan, D. R., DeHaan, L., Tyree, M., & Nicholas, K. A. (2023). A 4-week advance in the growing season in Napa Valley, California, USA. International Journal of Climatology, 1-18. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8162

Cobb, A., Cordeira, J., Dettinger, M., Aikens, C., Delaney, C., Forbis, J., Jasperse, J., Hartman, R., Martin Ralph, F., Sumargo, E., Talbot, C., Wilson, A. M., & Yeates, E. (2023). A Multidisciplinary Training Opportunity for the Next Generation of Forecast-Informed Reservoir Operations (FIRO) Collaborators. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 104, E1372–E1381, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0004.1.

Cobb, A., Steinhoff, D., Weihs, R., Delle Monache, L., DeHaan, L., Reynolds, D., Cannon, F., Kawzenuk, B., Papadopolous, C., Ralph, F.M., 2023: West-WRF 34-Year Reforecast: Description and Validation. J. Hydrometeor., https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-22-0235.1, in press

DeHaan, L. L., Wilson, A.M., Kawzenuk, B., Zheng, M., Delle Monach, L., Wu, X., Lavers, D.A., Ingleby, B., Tallapragada, V., Pappenberger, F., and Ralph, F.M., 2023: Impacts of Dropsonde Observations on Forecasts of Atmospheric Rivers and Associated Precipitation in the NCEP GFS and ECMWF IFS models. Wea. Forecasting, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-23-0025.1, in press

Gorodetskaya, I.V., Durán-Alarcón, C., González-Herrero, S., Clem, K. R., Zou, X., Rowe, P., Rodriguez Imazio, P., Campos, D., Leroy-Dos Santos, C., Dutrievoz, N., Wille, J. D., Chyhareva, A., Favier, V., Blanchet, J., Pohl, B., Cordero, R. R., Park. S.-J., Colwell, S., Lazzara, M. A., Carrasco, J., Gulisano, A. M., Krakovska, S., Ralph, F. M., Dethinne, T., & Picard, G. (2023). Record-high Antarctic Peninsula temperatures and surface melt in February 2022: a compound event with an intense atmospheric river. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6, 202. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00529-6

Guan, B., Waliser, D. E., & Ralph, F. M. (2023). Global application of the atmospheric river scale. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128(3), e2022JD037180. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD037180

Guirguis, K., Gershunov, A., Hatchett, B., Shulgina, T., DeFlorio, M. J., Subramanian, A. C., Guzman-Morales, J. Aguilera, R., Clemesha, R., Corringham, T. W., Delle Monache, L., Reynolds, D., Tardy, A., Small, I., & Ralph, F. M. (2023). Winter wet–dry weather patterns driving atmospheric rivers and Santa Ana winds provide evidence for increasing wildfire hazard in California. Climate Dynamics , 60, 1729-1749. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06361-7

Guirguis, K., Gershunov, A., Hatchett, B. J., DeFlorio, M. J., Subramanian, A. C., Clemesha, R., Delle Monache, L., & Ralph, F. M. (2023). Subseasonal prediction of impactful California winter weather in a hybrid dynamical-statistical framework. Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2023GL105360. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105360

Hatchett, B. J., Koshkin, A. L., Guirguis, K., Rittger, K., Nolin, A. W., Heggli, A., Rhoades, A. M., East, A. E., Siirila-Woodburn, E. R., Brandt, W. T., Gershunov, A., & Haleakala, K. (2023). Midwinter dry spells amplify post-fire snowpack decline. Geophysical Research Letters, 50(3), e2022GL101235. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL101235

Hicks, J., Guan, B., Nigam, S., & Ruiz-Barradas, A. (2023). Large-scale circulation context for North American west coast atmospheric rivers: Influence of the subseasonal NPO/WP teleconnection. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128, e2023JD038693. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD038693

Higgins, T. B., Subramanian, A. C., Graubner, A., Kapp-Schwoerer, L., Watson, P. A. G., Sparrow, S., et al. (2023). Using deep learning for an analysis of atmospheric rivers in a high-resolution large ensemble climate data set. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15, e2022MS003495. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003495

Howard, I. M., Stahle, D. W., Dettinger, M. D., Poulsen, C., Ralph, F. M., Torbenson, M. C. A., & Gershunov, A. (2023). A 440-Year Reconstruction of Heavy Precipitation in California from Blue Oak Tree Rings. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 24(3), 463–477. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-22-0062.1

Howard, I. M, Stahle, D. W, Torbenson, M. C, Granato–Souza, D., & Poulsen, C. (2023). The Flood Risk and Water Supply Implications of Seasonal Precipitation Reconstructions in Northern California. San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, 21(1). https://doi.org/10.15447/sfews.2023v21iss1art2

Hu, W., Cervone, G., Young, G., & Delle Monache, L. (2023). Machine Learning Weather Analogs for Near-Surface Variables. Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 186, 711-735. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10546-022-00779-6

Hu, W., Ghazvinian, M., Chapman, W. E., Sengupta, A., Ralph, F. M., & Delle Monache, L. (2023). Deep Learning Forecast Uncertainty for Precipitation over Western US. Monthly Weather Review 151(6), 1367-1385. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0268.1

Kaminski, A. N., Cordeira, J. M., Metz, N. D., Bachli, K., Duncan, M., Ericksen, M., Glade, I., Roberts, C., & Evans, C. (2023). A 30-Year Climatology of Northeastern United States Atmospheric Rivers. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 62(1), 31-40. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-21-0253.1

Katz, L., Lewis, G., Krogh, S., Drake, S., Hanan, E., Hatchett, B., & Harpold, A. (2023). Antecedent Snowpack Cold Content Alters the Hydrologic Response to Extreme Rain-on-Snow Events. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 24(10), 1825-1846. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-22-0090.1

Lavers, D. A., Torn, R. D., Davis, C., Richardson, D. S., Ralph, F. M., & Pappenberger, F. (2023). Forecast Evaluation of the North Pacific Jet Stream Using AR Recon Dropwindsondes. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (published online ahead of print 2023). https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4545

Lavers, D. A., Wilson, A.M., Ralph, F.M., Tallapragada, V., Pappenberger, F., Reynolds, C., Doyle, J.A., Delle Monache, L., David, C., Subramanian, A., Torn, R.A., Cordeira, J.M., Centurioni, L., and Haase, J.S., 2023: Advancing atmospheric river science and inspiring future development of the Atmospheric River Reconnaissance Program. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0278.1, in press.

Lord, S. J., Wu, X., Tallapragada, V., & Ralph, F. M. (2023). The Impact of Dropsonde Data on the Performance of the NCEP Global Forecast System During the 2020 Atmospheric Rivers Observing Campaign. Part 1: Precipitation. Weather and Forecasting, 38(1), 17-45. https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0036.1

Lord, S. J., Wu, X., Tallapragada, V., & Ralph, F.M. (2023). The Impact of Dropsonde Data on the Performance of the NCEP Global Forecast System During the 2020 Atmospheric Rivers Observing Campaign. Part II: Dynamic Variables and Humidity. Weather and Forecasting 38(5), 721-752. https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0072.1

Lu, Y., Monache, L.D., Weil, J., Ngan, K. & Li, Q. (2023). Predictability of passive scalar dispersion in atmospheric surface layers with urban-like roughness: A large-eddy simulations study. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 149(752), 994-1017. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4445

Malyarenko, A., Gossart, A., Sun, R. & Krapp, M. (2023). Conservation of heat and mass in P-SKRIPS version 1: the coupled atmosphere–ice–ocean model of the Ross Sea. Geoscientific Model Development, 16(11), 3355-3373. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-3355-2023

Nash, D., Carvalho, L.M.V., Rutz, J.J., and Jones, C. Influence of the freezing level on atmospheric rivers in High Mountain Asia: WRF case studies of orographic precipitation extremes. Climate Dynamics (2023) https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06929-x

Oakley, N. S., Liu, T., McGuire, L. A., Simpson, M., Hatchett, B. J., Tardy, A., Kean, J. W., Castellano, C., Laber, J. L., & Steinhoff, D. (2023). Toward probabilistic post-fire debris-flow hazard decision support. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (published online ahead of print 2023). https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0188.1

Olsen, J. R., Dettinger, M. D., & Giovannettone, J. P. (2023). Drought Attribution Studies and Water Resources Management. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104(2), E435-E441. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0214.1

Parajuli, S. P., Stenchikov, G. L., Ukhov, A., Morrison, H., Shevchenko, I., & Mostamandi, S. (2023). Simulation of a dust-and-rain event across the Red Sea using WRF-Chem. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128(14), e2022JD038384. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD038384

Reynolds, C. A., Stone, R. E., Doyle, J. D., Baker, N. L., Wilson, A. M., Ralph, F. M., Lavers, D. A., Subramanian, A. C., & Centurioni, L. (2023). Impacts of Northeastern Pacific Buoy Surface Pressure Observations. Monthly Weather Review, 151(1), 211-226. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0124.1

Sandstrom, J. D., Cordeira, J. M., Hoffman, E. G., & Metz, N. D. (2023). A Climatology of Easterly Wind Lake-Effect and Lake-Enhanced Precipitation Events over the Western Lake Superior Region. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 62(4), 529-545. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-22-0080.1.

Scheftic, W. D., Zeng, X., & Brunke, M. A. (2023). Seasonal forecasting of precipitation, temperature, and snow mass over the western U.S. by combining ensemble post-processing with empirical ocean-atmosphere teleconnections. Weather and Forecasting (published online ahead of print 2023). https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0099.1

Shulgina, T., Gershunov, A., Hatchett, B., Guirguis, K., Subramanian, A. C., Margulis, S. A., Fang, Y., Cayan, D. R., Pierce, D. W., Dettinger, M., Anderson, M. L., & Ralph, F. M. (2023). Observed and projected changes in snow accumulation and snowline in California’s snowy mountains. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06776-w

Su, L., Cao, Q., Shukla, S., Pan, M., & Lettenmaier, D. P. (2023). Evaluation of Subseasonal Drought Forecast Skill over the Coastal Western U.S. Monthly Weather Review, 24(4), 709-726. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-22-0103.1

Sun, R., Cobb, A., Villas Bôas, A. B., Langodan, S., Subramanian, A. C., Mazloff, M. R., Cornuelle, B. D., Miller, A. J., Pathak, R., & Hoteit, I. (2023). Waves in SKRIPS: WAVEWATCH III coupling implementation and a case study of Tropical Cyclone Mekunu. Geoscientific Model Development, 16(12), 3435–3458. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-3435-2023

Tarouilly, E., Cannon, F., & Lettenmaier, D. P. (2023). Improving Confidence in Model-Based Probable Maximum Precipitation: How Important is Model Uncertainty in Storm Reconstruction and Maximization? Journal of Hydrometeorology, 24(2), 257-267. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-22-0044.1

Wang, J., DeFlorio, M. J., Guan, B., & Castellano, C. M. (2023). Seasonality of MJO Impacts on Precipitation Extremes Over the Western U.S. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 24(1), 151-166. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-22-0089.1

Wei, H.-H., Subramanian, A.C., Karnauskas, K.B., Du, D., Balmaseda, M.A., Sarojini, B.B., et al. (2023). The role of in situ ocean data assimilation in ECMWF subseasonal forecasts of sea-surface temperature and mixed-layer depth over the tropical Pacific ocean. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society1–12. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4570

Wille, J. D., Alexander, S. P., Amory, C., Baiman, R., Barthélemy, L., Bergstrom, D. M., Berne, A., Binder, H., Blanchet, J., Bozkurt, D., Bracegirdle, T. J., Casado, M., Choi, T., Clem, K. R., Codron, F., Datta, R., Battista, S. D., Favier, V., Francis, D., Fraser, A. D., Fourré, E., Garreaud, R. D., Genthon, C., Gorodetskaya, I. V., González-Herrero, S., Heinrich, V. J., Hubert, G., Joos, H., Kim, S., King, J. C., Kittel, C., Landais, A., Lazzara, M., Leonard, G. H., Lieser, J. L., Maclennan, M., Mikolajczyk, D., Neff, P., Ollivier, I., Picard, G., Pohl, B., Ralph, M. F., Rowe, P., Schlosser, E., Shields, C. A., Smith, I. J., Sprenger, M., Trusel, L., Udy, D., Vance, T., Vignon, É., Walker, C., Wever, N., & Zou, X. (2023). The extraordinary March 2022 East Antarctica “heat” wave. Part I: observations and meteorological drivers. Journal of Climate (published online ahead of print 2023). https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0175.1

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Zheng, M., Delle Monache, L., Cornuelle, B. D., Ralph, F. M., Tallapragada, V. S., Subramanian, A., et al. (2021). Improved Forecast Skill through the Assimilation of Dropsonde Observations from the Atmospheric River Reconnaissance Program. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126, e2021JD034967. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD034967

Zheng, M., L. Delle Monache, X. Wu, F.M. Ralph, B. Cornuelle, V. Tallapragada, J.S. Haase, A.M. Wilson, M. Mazloff, A. Subramanian, and F. Cannon, 2021: Data Gaps within Atmospheric Rivers over the Northeastern Pacific. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 102, E492–E524, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0287.1

Brandt, W. T., Bormann, K. J., Cannon, F., Deems, J. S., Painter, T. H., Steinhoff, D. F., & Dozier, J. (2020)Quantifying the spatial variability of a snowstorm using differential airborne lidar. Water Resources Research, 56, e2019WR025331. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019WR025331

Cannon, F., J.M. Cordeira, C.W. Hecht, J.R. Norris, A. Michaelis, R. Demirdjian, and F.M. Ralph, 2020: GPM Satellite Radar Observations of Precipitation Mechanisms in Atmospheric Rivers. Mon. Wea. Rev., 148, 1449-1463, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0278.1

Cannon, F., N.S. Oakley, C.W. Hecht, A. Michaelis, J.M. Cordeira, B. Kawzenuk, R. Demirdjian, R. Weihs, M.A. Fish, A.M. Wilson, and F.M. Ralph, 2020: Observations and Predictability of a High-Impact Narrow Cold-Frontal Rainband over Southern California on 2 February 2019. Wea. Forecasting, 35, 2083–2097, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0012.1.

Cao, Q., A. Gershunov, T. Shulgina, F.M. Ralph, N. Sun, and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2020: Floods due to atmospheric rivers along the U.S. West Coast: The role of antecedent soil moisture in a warming climate. J. Hydrometeor., 21, 1827-1845, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-19-0242.1.

Collins, B. D., Oakley, N. S., Perkins, J. P., East, A. E., Corbett, S. C., & Hatchett, B. J. (2020). Linking Mesoscale Meteorology With Extreme Landscape Response: Effects of NCFR. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 125, e2020JF005675. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JF005675

Cooper, A. E., J.W. Kirchner, S. Wolf, D.L. Lombardozzi, B.W. Sullivan, S.W. Tyler, A.A. Harpold, 2020: Snowmelt causes different limitations on transpiration in a Sierra Nevada conifer forest. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 291, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108089.

Delaney, C. J., Hartman, R. K., Mendoza, J., Dettinger, M., Monache, L. D., Jasperse, J., Ralph, F. M., Talbot, C., Brown, J., & Reynolds, D. (2020). Forecast Informed Reservoir Operations Using Ensemble Streamflow Predictions for a Multi‐Purpose Reservoir in Northern California. Water Resources Research, 56, e2019WR026604, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019WR026604.

Demirdjian, R., Doyle, J.D., Reynolds, C.A. Norris, J.A., Michaelis, A.C., Ralph, F.M., 2020: A Case Study of the Physical Processes Associated with the Atmospheric River Initial Condition Sensitivity from an Adjoint Model. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 77, 691-709, DOI 10.1175/JAS-D-19-0155.1. click here for personal use pdf file

Demirdjian, R., J.R. Norris, A. Martin, and F.M. Ralph, 2020: Dropsonde Observations of the Ageostrophy within the Pre-Cold-Frontal Low-Level Jet Associated with Atmospheric Rivers. Mon. Wea. Rev., 148, 1389-1406, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0248.1

Gibson, P.B., D.E. Waliser, B. Guan, M.J. DeFlorio, F.M. Ralph, and D.L. Swain, 2020: Ridging associated with drought across the Western and Southwestern United States: characteristics, trends and predictability sources. J. Climate, 33, 2485-2508, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0439.1

Gibson, P. B., Waliser, D. E., Goodman, A., DeFlorio, M. J., Delle Monache, L., & Molod, A. (2020). Subseasonal‐to‐seasonal hindcast skill assessment of ridging events related to drought over the Western United States. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125, e2020JD033655. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD033655

Guirguis, K., A. Gershunov, M.J. DeFlorio, T. Shulgina, L. Delle Monache, A.C. Subramanian, T.W. Corringham, and F.M. Ralph, 2020: Four North Pacific atmospheric circulation regimes and their relationship to California precipitation on daily to seasonal timescales. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL087609, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL087609

Hatchett, B.J., Q. Cao, P.B. Dawson, C.J. Ellis, C.W. Hecht, B. Kawzenuk, J.T. Lancaster, T. Osborne, A.M. Wilson, M.L. Anderson, M.D. Dettinger, J. Kalansky, M.L. Kaplan, D.P. Lettenmaier, N.S. Oakley, F.M. Ralph, D.W. Reynolds, A.B. White, M. Sierks, E. Sumargo. (2020). Observations of an extreme atmospheric river storm with a diverse sensor network. Earth and Space Science, 7, 2333-5084, e2020EA001129. doi:10.1029/2020EA001129

Henn, B., Musselman, K. N., Lestak, L., Ralph, F. M., & Molotch, N. P.. (2020). Extreme runoff generation from atmospheric river driven snowmelt during the 2017 Oroville Dam spillways incident. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL088189. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088189

Henn, B., R. Weihs, A.C. Martin, F.M. Ralph, and T. Osborne, 2020: Skill of rain-snow level forecasts for landfalling atmospheric rivers: A multi-model model assessment using California’s network of vertically profiling radars J. Hydrometeor, 21, 751-771, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-18-0212.1

Lamjiri, M.A., F.M. Ralph, and M.D. Dettinger, 2020: Recent Changes in United States Extreme 3-Day Precipitation Using the R-CAT Scale. J. Hydrometeor., 21, 1207–1221, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-19-0171.1

Lavers, D.A., N.B. Ingleby, A.C. Subramanian, D.S. Richardson, F.M. Ralph, J.D. Doyle, C.A. Reynolds, R.D. Torn, M.J. Rodwell, V. Tallapragada, and F. Pappenberger, 2020: Forecast Errors and Uncertainties in Atmospheric Rivers. Wea. Forecasting, 35, 1447–1458, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0049.1

Lavers, D.A., Ralph, F.M., Richardson, D.S. and Pappenberger, F., 2020: Improved forecasts of atmospheric rivers through systematic reconnaissance, better modelling, and insights on conversion of rain to flooding. Commun Earth Environ, 1, 39, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-020-00042-1

Lawrimore, J.H., D. Wuertz, A.M. Wilson, S. Stevens, M. Menne, B. Korzeniewski, M.A. Palecki, R.D. Leeper, and T. Trunk, 2020: Quality Control and Processing of Cooperative Observer Program Hourly Precipitation Data. J. Hydrometeor., 21, 1811-1825, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-19-0300.1

Massoud, E. C., H. Lee, P. B. Gibson, P. Loikith, and D. E. Waliser, 2020: Bayesian Model Averaging of Climate Model Projections Constrained by Precipitation Observations over the Contiguous United States. J. Hydrometeor., 21, 2401–2418, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-19-0258.1

Merryfield, W.J., J. Baehr, L. Batté, E.J. Becker, A.H. Butler, C.A. Coelho, G. Danabasoglu, P.A. Dirmeyer, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, D.I. Domeisen, L. Ferranti, T. Ilynia, A. Kumar, W.A. Müller, M. Rixen, A.W. Robertson, D.M. Smith, Y. Takaya, M. Tuma, F. Vitart, C.J. White, M.S. Alvarez, C. Ardilouze, H. Attard, C. Baggett, M.A. Balmaseda, A.F. Beraki, P.S. Bhattacharjee, R. Bilbao, F.M. de Andrade, M.J. DeFlorio, L.B. Díaz, M.A. Ehsan, G. Fragkoulidis, S. Grainger, B.W. Green, M.C. Hell, J.M. Infanti, K. Isensee, T. Kataoka, B.P. Kirtman, N.P. Klingaman, J. Lee, K. Mayer, R. McKay, J.V. Mecking, D.E. Miller, N. Neddermann, C.H. Justin Ng, A. Ossó, K. Pankatz, S. Peatman, K. Pegion, J. Perlwitz, G.C. Recalde-Coronel, A. Reintges, C. Renkl, B. Solaraju-Murali, A. Spring, C. Stan, Y.Q. Sun, C.R. Tozer, N. Vigaud, S. Woolnough, and S. Yeager, 2020: Current and emerging developments in subseasonal to decadal prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101(6), E869–E896, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0037.1

Nguyen, P., E.J. Shearer, M. Ombadi, V.A. Gorooh, K. Hsu, S. Sorooshian, W.S. Logan, and F.M. Ralph, 2020: PERSIANN Dynamic Infrared–Rain Rate Model (PDIR) for High-Resolution, Real-Time Satellite Precipitation Estimation. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101(3), E286-E302 https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0118.1

Norris, J.R., F.M. Ralph, R. Demirdjian, F. Cannon, B. Blomquist, C.W. Fairall, J.R. Spackman, S. Tanelli, and D.E. Waliser, 2020: The Observed Water Vapor Budget in an Atmospheric River over the Northeast Pacific. J. Hydrometeor., 21, 2655–2673, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0048.1

O'Brien, T.A., A.E. Payne, C.A. Shields, J. Rutz, S. Brands, C. Castellano, J. Chen, W. Cleveland, M.J. DeFlorio, N. Goldenson, I. Gorodetskaya, H.I. Díaz, K. Kashinath, B. Kawzenuk, S. Kim, M. Krinitskiy, J.M. Lora, B. McClenny, A. Michaelis, J. O’Brien, C.M. Patricola, A.M. Ramos, E.J. Shearer, W.-W. Tung, P. Ullrich, M.F. Wehner, K. Yang, R. Zhang, Z. Zhang, and Y. Zhou. Detection Uncertainty Matters for Understanding Atmospheric Rivers. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101(6), E790-E796, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0348.1

Payne, A.E., M. Demory, L.R. Leung, A.M. Ramos, C.A. Shields, J.J. Rutz., N. Siler, G. Villarini, A. Hall, F.M. Ralph. 2020: Responses and impacts of atmospheric rivers to climate change. Nat Rev Earth Environ, 1, 143–157 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-020-0030-5

Ralph, F. M., F. Cannon, V. Tallapragada, C. A. Davis, J. D. Doyle, F. Pappenberger, A. Subramanian, A. M. Wilson, D. A. Lavers, C. A. Reynolds, J. Haase, J. J. Rutz, J. M. Cordeira, M. Zheng, C. W. Hecht, B. Kawzenuk, L. Delle Monache, 2020: West Coast Forecast Challenges and Development of Atmospheric River Reconnaissance. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101(8), E1357–E1377, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0183.1

Rengers, F.K., McGuire, L.A., Oakley, N.S., Kean, J.W., Staley, D.M., and Tang, H. Landslides after wildfire: initiation, magnitude, and mobility. Landslides 17, 2631-2641 (2020), https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-020-01506-3

Ryoo J., Chiao, S., Spackman, R.J., Iraci, L.T., Ralph, F.M., Martin, A., Dole, R.M., Marrero, J.E., Yates, E.L., Bui, T.P., Dean-Day, J.M., Chang, C.S., 2020: Terrain Trapped Airflows and Precipitation Variability during an Atmospheric River Event. J. Hydrometeor., 21, 355-375, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-19-0040.1, click here for personal use pdf file

Sanders, M.C., J.M. Cordeira, and N.D. Metz, 2020: Hydrometeorological Characteristics of Ice Jams on the Pemigewasset River in Central New Hampshire. J. Hydrometeor., 21, 2923–2942, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0027.1

Shearer, E. J., Nguyen, P., Sellars, S. L., Analui, B., Kawzenuk, B., Hsu, K., et al. (2020). Examination of global midlatitude atmospheric river lifecycles using an object‐oriented methodology. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125, e2020JD033425. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD033425

Sierks, M.D., J. Kalansky, F. Cannon, and F. Ralph, 2020: Characteristics, Origins, and Impacts of Summertime Extreme Precipitation in the Lake Mead Watershed. J. Climate, 33, 2663-2680, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0387.1

Slinskey, E.A., P.C. Loikith, D.E. Waliser, B. Guan, and A. Martin, 2020: A Climatology of Atmospheric Rivers and Associated Precipitation for the Seven US National Climate Assessment Regions. J. Hydrometeor., 21, 2439-2456, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0039.1

Stone, R.E., C.A. Reynolds, J.D. Doyle, R. Langland, N. Baker, D.A. Lavers, and F.M. Ralph, 2020: Atmospheric River Reconnaissance Observation Impact in the Navy Global Forecast System. Mon. Wea. Rev., 148, 763-782, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0101.1

Sumargo, E., Cannon, F., Ralph, F. M., & Henn, B. (2020). Freezing Level Forecast Error Can Consume Reservoir Flood Control Storage: Potentials for Lake Oroville and New Bullards Bar Reservoirs in California. Water Resources Research, 56, e2020WR027072. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020WR027072

Sumargo, E., A.M. Wilson, F.M. Ralph, R. Weihs, A. White, J. Jasperse, M.A. Lamjiri, S. Turnbull, C. Downer, and L. Delle Monache, 2020: The Hydrometeorological Observation Network in California’s Russian River Watershed: Development, Characteristics and Key Findings from 1997 to 2019. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101(10), E1781–E1800, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0253.1

Voss, K.K., and A. Evan, 2020: A new satellite-based global climatology of dust aerosol optical depth. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 59, 83-102, https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-19-0194.1

Voss, K.K., A.T. Evan, K.A. Prather, and F.M. Ralph, 2020: Dusty Atmospheric Rivers: Characteristics and Origins. J. Climate., 33, 9749-9762, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0059.1

Wilson, A.M., W. Chapman, A. Payne, A.M. Ramos, C. Boehm, D. Campos, J. Cordeira, R. Garreaud, I.V. Gorodetskaya, J.J. Rutz, C. Viceto, and F.M. Ralph, 2020: Training the Next Generation of Researchers in the Science and Application of Atmospheric Rivers. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101(6), E738-E743, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0311.1

Adusumilli, S., Borsa, A. A., Fish, M. A., McMillan, H. K., & Silverii, F. ( 2019). A decade of terrestrial water storage changes across the contiguous United States from GPS and GRACE. Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 13006-13015, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085370

Aguilera, R., A. Gershunov, T. Benmarhnia, 2019: Atmospheric rivers impact California's coastal water quality via extreme precipitation. Science of the Total Environment, 671, 488-494, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.03.318

Cao, Q., A. Mehran, F.M. Ralph, and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2019: The role of hydrological initial conditions on Atmospheric River floods in the Russian River basin. J. Hydrometeor., 20, 1667-1686. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-19-0030.1

Chapman, W. E., Subramanian, A. C., Delle Monache, L., Xie, S. P., & Ralph, F. M. 2019: Improving Atmospheric River Forecasts with Machine Learning. Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 10627-10635, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083662

Cordeira, J.M., J. Stock, M.D. Dettinger, A.M. Young, J.F. Kalansky, and F.M. Ralph, 2019: A 142-year Climatology of Northern California Landslides and Atmospheric Rivers. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100(8), 1499-1509, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0158.1

Corringham, T.W. and D.R. Cayan, 2019: The Effect of El Niño on Flood Damages in the Western United States. Wea. Climate Soc., 11, 489–504, https://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-18-0071.1

Corringham, T.W. Ralph, F.M., Gershunov, A., Cayan, D.R., and Talbot, C.A., 2019: Atmospheric rivers drive flood damages in the western United States. Science Advances, 5, 12, eaax4631, DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aax4631

DeFlorio, M., D. Waliser, B. Guan, F.M. Ralph, and F. Vitart, 2019: Global evaluation of atmospheric river subseasonal prediction skill. Climate Dynamics, 52, 3039-3060, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4309-x

DeFlorio, M. J., D.E. Waliser, F.M. Ralph, B. Guan, A. Goodman, P.B. Gibson, S. Asharaf, L. Delle Monache, Z. Zhang, A.C. Subramanian, F. Vitart, H. Lin, and A. Kumar, 2019: Experimental Subseasonal‐to‐Seasonal (S2S) Forecasting of Atmospheric Rivers Over the Western United States. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124, 11,242-11,265, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD031200

Fish, M.A., A.M. Wilson, and F.M. Ralph, 2019: Atmospheric River Families: Definition and Associated Synoptic Conditions. J. Hydrometeor., 20, 2091-2108, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-18-0217.1

Gershunov, A., T. Shulgina, R.E.S. Clemesha, K. Guirguis, D.W. Pierce, M.D. Dettinger, D.A. Lavers, D.R. Cayan, S.D. Polade, J.F. Kalansky and F.M. Ralph, 2019: Precipitation regime change in Western North America: The role of Atmospheric Rivers. Scientific Reports, 9, 9944, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-46169-w

Gibson, P.B., D.E. Waliser, and M.J. DeFlorio, 2019: A critical examination of a newly proposed interhemispheric teleconnection to Southwestern US winter precipitation. Nature Communications, 10, 2687, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-10528-y

Guan, B., and D.E. Waliser, 2019: Tracking Atmospheric Rivers Globally: Spatial Distributions and Temporal Evolution of Life Cycle Characteristics. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124, 12,523–12,552. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD031205

Guirguis, K., Gershunov, A., Shulgina, T., Clemesha, R.E.S., Ralph, F.M., 2019: Atmospheric rivers impacting Northern California and their modulation by a variable climate. Climate Dynamics, 52, 6569-6583, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4532-5

Lukashov, S.G., Lancaster, J.T., Oakley, N.S., Swanson, B.J., 2019, Post-fire debris flows of 9 January 2018, Thomas Fire, Southern California: Initiation areas, precipitation and impacts: In Seventh International Conference on Debris-Flow Hazards Mitigation, Association of Environmental and Engineering Geologists Special Publication 28, p. 774-781. ISBN: 978-0-578-51082-8.

Martin, A.C., G. Cornwell, C.M. Beall, F. Cannon, S. Reilly, B. Schaap, D. Lucero, J. Creamean, F.M. Ralph, H.T. Mix, and K. Prather, 2019: Contrasting local and long-range-transported warm ice-nucleating particles during an atmospheric river in coastal California, USA. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics., 19, 4193-4210, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-4193-2019

Martin, A.C., F.M. Ralph, A. Wilson, L. DeHaan, and B. Kawzenuk, 2019: Rapid Cyclogenesis from a Mesoscale Frontal Wave on an Atmospheric River: Impacts on Forecast Skill and Predictability during Atmospheric River Landfall. J. Hydrometeor., 20, 1779-1794, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-18-0239.1

Mix, H.T., S.P. Reilly, A. Martin, and G. Cornwell, 2019: Evaluating the Roles of Rainout and Post-Condensation Processes in a Landfalling Atmospheric River with Stable Isotopes in Precipitation and Water Vapor. Atmosphere, 10(2), 86, https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos10020086

Murphy, M.J., J.S. Haase, R. Padulles, S.-H. Chen, M.A. Morris, 2019: The Potential for Discriminating Microphysical Processes in Numerical Weather Forecasts Using Airborne Polarimetric Radio Occultations. Remote Sens., 11, 2268 https://doi.org/10.3390/rs11192268

Ralph, F.M., J.J. Rutz, J.M. Cordeira, M. Dettinger, M. Anderson, D. Reynolds, L.J. Schick, and C. Smallcomb, 2019: A Scale to Characterize the Strength and Impacts of Atmospheric Rivers. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 100(2), 269-289, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0023.1

Ralph, F.M., A.M. Wilson, T. Shulgina, B. Kawzenuk, S. Sellars, J.J. Rutz, M.A. Lamjiri, E.A. Barnes, A. Gershunov, B. Guan, K.M. Nardi, T. Osborne, and G.A. Wick, 2019: ARTMIP-early start comparison of atmospheric river detection tools: how many atmospheric rivers hit northern California’s Russian River watershed?. Climate Dynamics, 52, 4973-4994, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4427-5

Ramos, A.M., Wilson, A.M., Deflorio, M.J., Warner, M.D., Barnes, E., Garreaud, R., Gorodetskaya, I.V., Lavers, D.A., Moore, B., Payne, A., Smallcomb, C., Sodemann, H., Wehner, M., Ralph, F.M., 2019: International Atmospheric Rivers Conference: Multi‐disciplinary studies and high‐impact applications of atmospheric rivers. Atmos Sci Lett., 20, e935. https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.935

Reynolds, C.A., J.D. Doyle, F.M. Ralph, and R. Demirdjian, 2019: Adjoint Sensitivity of North Pacific Atmospheric River Forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 147, 1871-1897, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-18-0347.1

Roche, J. W., Rice, R., Meng, X., Cayan, D. R., Dettinger, M. D., Alden, D., Patel, S. C., Mason, M. A., Conklin, M. H., and Bales, R. C., 2019: Climate, snow, and soil moisture data set for the Tuolumne and Merced river watersheds, California, USA. Earth Sys. Sci. Data, 11, 101-110, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-11-101-2019

Rutz, J. J., Shields, C. A., Lora, J. M., Payne, A. E., Guan, B., Ullrich, P., et al, 2019: The Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP): Quantifying Uncertainties in Atmospheric River Climatology. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124, 13777-13802, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD030936

Shields, C. A., Rutz, J. J., Leung, L.-Y., Ralph, F. M., Wehner, M., O'Brien, T., and R. Pierce, 2019: Defining Uncertainties Through Comparison of Atmospheric River Tracking Methods. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 100(2), ES93-ES96, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0200.1

Sun, R., A.C. Subramanian, A.J. Miller, M.R. Mazloff, I. Hoteit, and B.D. Cornuelle, 2019: SKRIPS v1.0: a regional coupled ocean–atmosphere modeling framework (MITgcm–WRF) using ESMF/NUOPC, description and preliminary results for the Red Sea. Geosci. Model Dev., 12, 4221-4244, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-4221-2019

Vano, J.A., Dettinger, M., Cifelli, R., Curtis, D., Dufour, A., Miller, K., Olsen, J.A., Wilson, A.M., 2019: Hydroclimatic Extremes as Challenges for the Water Management Community: Lessons from Oroville Dam and Hurricane Harvey. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100(1), S1-S6, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0219.1

Zhang, Z., D.W. Pierce, and D.R. Cayan, 2019: A Deficit of Seasonal Temperature Forecast Skill over West Coast Regions in NMME. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 833-848, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-18-0172.1

Zhang, Z., Ralph, F. Martin, & Zheng, M., 2019: The Relationship between Extratropical Cyclone Strength and Atmospheric River Intensity and Position. Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 1814– 1823. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079071

Cannon, F., C. Hecht, J. Cordeira, and F.M. Ralph, 2018: Synoptic to Mesoscale Forcing of Extreme Precipitation in Southern California. Journal of Geophysical Research – Atmospheres, 123, 13,714–13,730, DOI: 10.1029/2018JD029045

Cordeira J. M., M. M. Neureuter, and L. D. Kelleher, 2018: Atmospheric rivers and National Weather Service watches, warnings, and advisories issued over California 2007-2016. Journal of Operational Meteorology. 6 (8), 87-94, doi: https://doi.org/10.15191/nwajom.2018.0608

DeFlorio, M., D. Waliser, B. Guan, D. Lavers, F.M. Ralph, and F. Vitart, 2018: Global assessment of atmospheric river prediction skill. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 19, 409-426. click here for personal use pdf file

Dettinger, M. D., F.M. Ralph, and J.J. Rutz, 2018: Empirical Return Periods of the Most Intense Vapor Transports during Historical Atmospheric River Landfalls on the US West Coast. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 19, 1363-1377, https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JHM-D-17-0247.1

Espinoza, V., D.E. Waliser, B. Guan, D. Lavers, and F.M. Ralph, 2018: Global Analysis of Climate Change Projection Effects on Atmospheric Rivers. Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 4299-4308. click here for personal use pdf file

Flint, L.E., A.L. Flint, J. Mendoza, J. Kalansky, and F.M. Ralph, 2018: Characterizing drought in California: new drought indices and scenario-testing in support of resource management. Ecological Processes, 7:1. doi:10.1186/s13717-017-0112-6. click here for personal use pdf file

Guan, B., D. Waliser, and F. Ralph, 2018: An inter-comparison between reanalysis and dropsonde observations of the total water vapor transport in individual atmospheric rivers. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 19, 321-337. click here for personal use pdf file

Guirguis, K., A. Gershunov, R. E. S. Clemesha, T. Shulgina, A. C. Subramanian, & F. M. Ralph, 2018: Circulation Drivers of Atmospheric Rivers at the North American West Coast. Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 12,576–12,584. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079249

Henn, B., T.H. Painter, K.J. Bormann, B. McGurk, A.L. Flint, L.E. Flint, V. White, and J.D. Lundquist, 2018: High-elevation evapotranspiration estimates during drought: Using streamflow and NASA airborne snow observatory SWE observations to close the upper Tuolumne river basin water balance. Water Resources Research, 54. doi:10.1002/2017WR020473. click here for personal use pdf file

Lavers, D.A., M.J. Rodwell, D.S. Richardson, F.M. Ralph, J.D. Doyle, C.A. Reynolds, V. Tallapragada, and F. Pappenberger, 2018: The Gauging and Modeling of Rivers in the Sky. Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 7828–7834, doi:10.1029/2018GL079019. click here for personal use pdf file

Lamjiri, M. A, Dettinger, M. D, Ralph, F. M, Oakley, N. S, & Rutz, J. J. (2018). Hourly Analyses of the Large Storms and Atmospheric Rivers that Provide Most of California’s Precipitation in Only 10 to 100 Hours per Year. San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science. 16(4). Retrieved from https://escholarship.org/uc/item/3jr7z162

Martin, A., F.M. Ralph, R. Demirdjian, L. DeHaan, R. Weihs, J. Helly, D. Reynolds, and S. Iacobellis, 2018: Evaluation of Atmospheric River Predictions by the WRF Model Using Aircraft and Regional Mesonet Observations of Orographic Precipitation and Its Forcing. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 19, 1097-1113, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-17-0098.1

Nardi, K., E. Barnes, and F. Ralph, 2018: Assessment of Numerical Weather Prediction Model Re-Forecasts of the Occurrence, Intensity, and Location of Atmospheric Rivers along the West Coast of North America. Mon. Wea. Rev., 146, 3343-3362, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-18-0060.1

Nash, D., Waliser, D., Guan, B., Ye, H., & Ralph, M. (2018): The Role of Atmospheric Rivers in Extratropical and Polar Hydroclimate. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 123, 6804–6821, https://doi.org/10.1029/2017JD028130

Oakley, N.S., F. Cannon, E. Boldt, J. Dumas, and F.M. Ralph, 2018: Origins and variability of extreme precipitation in the Santa Ynez River Basin of Southern California. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies., 19, 164-176, DOI:10.1016/j.ejrh.2018.09.001.

Oakley, N., J. Cannon, F., Munroe, R., Lancaster J., Gomberg D., and Ralph F.M., 2018: Brief communication: Meteorological and climatological conditions associated with the 9 January 2018 post-fire debris flows in Montecito and Carpinteria, California, USA. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 3037-3043, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-3037-2018

Oakley, N., J. Lancaster, B. Hatchett, J. Stock, F. Ralph, S. Roj, and S. Lukashov, 2018: A 22-year climatology of cool season hourly precipitation thresholds conducive to shallow landslides in California. Earth Interactions, 22:14, 1-17, doi:10.1175/EI-D-17- 0029.1

Ralph, F.M., M.D. Dettinger, M.M. Cairns, T.J. Galarneau, and J. Eylander, 2018: Defining “Atmospheric River”: How the Glossary of Meteorology Helped Resolve a Debate. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99, 837-839, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0157.1

Sellars, S., 2018: "Grand Challenges" in big data and the earth sciences. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99, ES95-ES98, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0304.1

Shields, C. A., Rutz, J. J., Leung, L.-Y., Ralph, F. M., Wehner, M., Kawzenuk, B., Lora, J. M., McClenny, E., Osborne, T., Payne, A. E., Ullrich, P., Gershunov, A., Goldenson, N., Guan, B., Qian, Y., Ramos, A. M., Sarangi, C., Sellars, S., Gorodetskaya, I., Kashinath, K., Kurlin, V., Mahoney, K., Muszynski, G., Pierce, R., Subramanian, A. C., Tome, R., Waliser, D., Walton, D., Wick, G., Wilson, A., Lavers, D., Prabhat, Collow, A., Krishnan, H., Magnusdottir, G., and Nguyen, P., 2018: Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP): Project Goals and Experimental Design, Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 2455–2474, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-295

Viale, M., Valenzuela, R., Garreaud, R.D., and Ralph, F.M., 2018: Impacts of Atmospheric Rivers on Precipitation in Southern South America. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 19, 1671-1687, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-18-0006.1

Albano, C.M., M.D. Dettinger, and C.E. Soulard, 2017: Influence of atmospheric rivers on vegetation productivity and fire patterns in the southwestern U.S. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 122, 308-323. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016JG003608. click here for personal use pdf file

Cannon, F., F.M. Ralph, A.M. Wilson, and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2017: GPM Satellite Radar Measurements of Precipitation and Freezing Level in Atmospheric Rivers: Comparison with Ground-Based Radars and Reanalyses. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 122. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JD027355. click here for personal use pdf file

Cordeira, J.M., F.M. Ralph, A. Martin, N. Gaggini, R. Spackman, P.J. Neiman, J. Rutz, and R. Pierce, 2017: Forecasting atmospheric rivers during CalWater 2015. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98(3), 449-459, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00245.1. click here for personal use pdf file

Gershunov, A., T. Shulgina, F. M. Ralph, D. A. Lavers, and J. J. Rutz, 2017: Assessing the climate-scale variability of atmospheric rivers affecting western North America. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, doi:10.1002/2017GL074175. click here for personal use pdf file

Guan, B., and D.E. Waliser, 2017: Atmospheric rivers in 20 year weather and climate simulations: A multi-model, global evaluation. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 122, 5556-5581. click here for personal use pdf file

Hatchett, B.J., B. Dudert, N.S. Oakley, A.E. Putnam, and A.B. White, 2017: Winter Snow Level Rise in the Northern Sierra Nevada from 2008 to 2017. Water, 9, 899. doi:10.3390/w9110899. click here for personal use pdf file

Hatchett, B.J., S. Burak, J.J. Rutz, N.S. Oakley, E.H. Bair, and M.L. Kaplan, 2017: Avalanche fatalities during atmospheric river events in the western United States. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18, 1359-1374. click here for personal use pdf file

Hecht, C.W. and J.M. Cordeira, 2017: Characterizing the Influence of Atmospheric River Orientation and Intensity on Precipitation Distributions over North-Coastal California. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, doi: 10.1002/2017GL074179. click here for personal use pdf file

Hu, H., F. Dominguez, Z. Wang, D.A. Lavers, G. Zhang, and F.M. Ralph, 2017: Linking atmospheric river hydrological impacts on the U.S. West Coast to Rossby wave breaking. Journal of Climate, 30, 3381-3389, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0386.1. click here for personal use pdf file

Konrad, C.P. and M.D. Dettinger, 2017: Flood runoff in relation to water vapor transport by atmospheric rivers over the Western US, 1949-2015 Geophysical Research Letters, 44. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL075399. click here for personal use pdf file

Lamjiri, M.A., M.D. Dettinger, F.M. Ralph, and B. Guan, 2017: Hourly Storm Characteristics along the U.S. West Coast: Role of Atmospheric Rivers in Extreme Precipitation. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, doi:10.1002/2017GL074193. click here for personal use pdf file

Martin, A. C., G. C. Cornwell, S. A. Atwood, K. A. Moore, N. Rothfuss, H. Taylor, P. J. DeMott, S. M. Kreidenweiss, M. D. Petters, and K. A. Prather, 2017: Transport of Pollution to a Remote Coastal Site during Gap Flow from California’s Interior: Impacts on Aerosol Composition, Clouds and Radiative Balance, Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 17, 1491–1509, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-1491-2017. click here for personal use pdf file

Oakley, N.S., J.T. Lancaster, M.L. Kaplan, and F.M. Ralph, 2017: Synoptic conditions associated with cool season post-fire debris flows in the Transverse Ranges of southern California. Natural Hazards, 88, 327, doi:10.1007/s11069-017-2867-6. click here for personal use pdf file

Paltan, H., D. Waliser, W.H. Lim, B. Guan, D. Yamazaki, R. Pant, and S. Dadson, 2017: Global floods and water availability driven by atmospheric rivers. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, doi:10.1002/2017GL074882. click here for personal use pdf file

Polade S.D., A. Gershunov, D.R. Cayan, M.D. Dettinger, and D.W. Pierce, 2017: Precipitation in a warming world: Assessing projected hydro-climate changes in California and other Mediterranean climate regions. Scientific Reports 7: 10783, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-11285-y

Ralph, F.M., M. Dettinger, D. Lavers, I.V. Gorodetskaya, A. Martin, M. Viale, A.B. White, N. Oakley, J. Rutz, J.R. Spackman, H. Wernli, and J. Cordeira, 2017: Atmospheric rivers emerge as a global science and applications focus. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98(9), 1969-1973, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0262.1. click here for personal use pdf file

Ralph, F.M., and T. Galarneau, 2017: The Chiricahua Gap and the Role of Easterly Water Vapor Transport in Southeastern Arizona Monsoon Precipitation. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18, 2511-2520. click here for personal use pdf file

Ralph, F., S. Iacobellis, P. Neiman, J. Cordeira, J. Spackman, D. Waliser, G. Wick, A. White, and C. Fairall, 2017: Dropsonde Observations of Total Integrated Water Vapor Transport within North Pacific Atmospheric Rivers. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18, 2577-2596. click here for personal use pdf file

Sellars, S.L., B. Kawzenuk, P. Nguyen, F.M. Ralph, and S. Sorooshian, 2017: Genesis, pathways, and terminations of intense global water vapor transport in associated with large-scale climate patterns. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, doi:10.1002/2017GL075495. click here for personal use pdf file

Waliser, D., and B. Guan, 2017: Extreme winds and precipitation during landfall of atmospheric rivers. Nature Geoscience, 10(3), 179-183. click here for personal use pdf file

Young, A.M., K.T. Skelly, and J. Cordeira, 2017: High-impact hydrologic events and atmospheric rivers in California: An investigation using the NCEI Storm Events Database. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, doi:10.1002/2017GL073077. click here for personal use pdf file

Dettinger, M.D., 2016: Historical and future relations between large storms and droughts in California. San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, 14(2). doi:10.15447/sfews.2016v14iss2art2. click here for personal use pdf file

Guan, B., D.E. Waliser, F.M. Ralph, E.J. Fetzer and P.J. Neiman, 2016: Hydrometeorological characteristics of rain-on-snow events associated with atmospheric rivers. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 2964-2973. doi:10.1002/2016GL067978. click here for personal use pdf file

Lavers, D.A., D.E. Waliser, F.M. Ralph and M.D. Dettinger, 2016: Predictability of horizontal water vapor transport relative to precipitation: Enhancing situational awareness for forecasting Western U.S. extreme precipitation and flooding. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 2275-2282. doi:10.1002/2016GL067765. click here for personal use pdf file

Neiman, P.J., B.J. Moore, A.B. White, G.A. Wick, J. Aikins, D.L. Jackson, J.R. Spackman and F.M. Ralph, 2016: An airborne and ground-based study of a long-lived and intense atmospheric river impacting California during the CalWater-2014 Early-Start field campaign. Monthly Weather Review, 144, 1115-1144. doi:10.1175/MWR-D-15-0319.1. click here for personal use pdf file

Ralph, F.M., J.M. Cordeira, P.J. Neiman and M. Hughes, 2016: Extreme Daily Precipitation in the Northern California Upper Sacramento River Watershed Requires a Combination of a Landfalling Atmospheric River and a Sierra Barrier Jet. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 17, 1904-1915. doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-15-0167.1 click here for personal use pdf file

Ralph, F.M., K. Prather, D. Cayan, J.R. Spackman, P. Demott, M. Dettinger, C. Fairall, R. Leung, D. Rosenfeld, S. Rutledge, D. Waliser, A. White, J. Cordeira, A. Martin, J. Helly and J. Intieri, 2016: CalWater Field Studies Designed to Quantify the Roles of Atmospheric Rivers and Aerosols in Modulating U.S. West Coast Precipitation in a Changing Climate. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97(7), 1209-1228, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00043.1. click here for personal use pdf file

Coplen, T.B., P.J. Neiman, A.B. White and F.M. Ralph, 2015: Categorisation of Northern California rainfall for periods with and without a radar bright band using stable isotopes and a novel automated precipitation collector. Tellus B, 67, 1-48. doi:10.3402.tellusb.v67.28574. click here for personal use pdf file

Creamean, J.M., A.P. Ault, A.B. White, P.J. Neiman, F.M. Ralph, P. Minnis and K.A. Prather, 2015: Impact of interannual variations in sources of insoluble aerosol species on orographic precipitation over California’s central Sierra Nevada. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15, 6535-6548. doi:10.5194/acp-15-6535-2015. click here for personal use pdf file

Dettinger, M., 2015: Sturm und Drang -- California’s Remarkable Storm-Drought Connection. Hydrolink, 1, 21-22. click here for personal use pdf file

Dettinger, M.D., F.M. Ralph and D.A. Lavers, 2015: Setting the stage for a global science of atmospheric rivers -- The Scripps Institution of Oceanography International Atmospheric Rivers Workshop; La Jolla, California, 15–17 June 2015. EOS Earth and Space Science News, 96(1). doi:10.1029/2015EO038675. click here for web article

Lavers, D.A., F.M. Ralph, D.E. Waliser, A. Gershunov and M.D. Dettinger, 2015: Climate change intensification of horizontal water vapor transport in CMIP5. Geophysical Research Letters, 42. doi:10.1002/2015GL064672. click here for personal use pdf file

Mahoney, K., F.M. Ralph, K. Wolter, N. Doesken, M. Dettinger, D. Gottas, T. Coleman and A. White, 2015: Climatology of Extreme Daily Precipitation in Colorado and Its Diverse Spatial and Seasonal Variability. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 16, 781-792. doi:10.1175/JHM-D-14-0112.1. click here for personal use pdf file

Rutz, J.J., J.W. Steenburgh and F.M. Ralph, 2015: The Inland Penetration of Atmospheric Rivers over Western North America: A Lagrangian Analysis. Monthly Weather Review, 143, 1924-1944. doi:10.1175/MWR-D-14-00288.1. click here for personal use pdf file

White, A.B., P.J. Neiman, J.M. Creamean, T. Coleman, F.M. Ralph and K.A. Prather, 2015: The Impacts of California’s San Francisco Bay Area Gap on Precipitation Observed in the Sierra Nevada during HMT and CalWater. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 16, 1048–1069. doi:10.1175/JHM-D-14-0160.1. click here for personal use pdf file

Creamean, J.M., C. Lee, T.C. Hill, A.P. Ault, P.J. DeMott, A.B. White, F.M. Ralph and K.A. Prather, 2014: Chemical properties of insoluble precipitation residue particles. Journal of Aerosol Science, 76, 13-27. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jaerosci.2014.05.005. click here for personal use pdf file Dettinger, M.D., and D. Cayan, 2014: Drought and the California delta - a matter of extremes. San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, 12(2), 7 p. doi:10.15447/sfews.2014v12iss2art4. click here for personal use pdf file Gorodetskaya, I.V., M. Tsukernik, K. Claes, F.M. Ralph, W.D. Neff and N.P.M. Van Lipzig, 2014: The role of atmospheric rivers in anomalous snow accumulation in East Antarctica. Geophysical Research Letters, 41, 6199-6206. click here for personal use pdf file Guirguis, K., A. Gershunov, A. Tardy and R. Basu, 2014: The Impact of Recent Heat Waves on Human Health in California. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 53, 3-19. click here for personal use pdf file Hughes, M., K.M. Mahoney, P.J. Neiman, B.J. Moore, M. Alexander and F.M. Ralph, 2014: The landfall and inland penetration of a flood-producing atmospheric river in Arizona. Part II: Sensitivity of modeled precipitation to terrain height and atmospheric river orientation. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 15, 1954-1974. click here for personal use pdf file Matrosov, S.Y., F.M. Ralph, P.J. Neiman and A.B. White, 2014: Quantitative assessment of operational weather radar rainfall estimates over California’s Northern Sonoma County using HMT-West data. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 15, 393–410. click here for personal use pdf file Neff, W., G. Compo, F.M. Ralph and M.D. Shupe, 2014: Continental heat anomalies and the extreme melting of the Greenland ice surface in 2012 and 1889. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres , 119(11), 6520-6536. click here for personal use pdf file Neiman, P.J., F.M. Ralph, B.J. Moore and R.J. Zamora, 2014: The regional influence of an intense Sierra Barrier Jet and landfalling atmospheric river on orographic precipitation in northern California: A case study. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 15, 1419-1439. click here for personal use pdf file Neiman, P.J., G.A. Wick, B.J. Moore, F.M. Ralph, J.R. Spackman and B. Ward, 2014: An Airborne Study of an Atmospheric River over the Subtropical Pacific during WISPAR: Dropsonde Budget-Box Diagnostics and Precipitation Impacts in Hawaii. Monthly Weather Review, 142(9), 3199-3223, DOI:10.1175/MWR-D-13-00383.1. click here for personal use pdf file Ralph, F.M., M.D. Dettinger, A. White, D. Reynolds, D. Cayan, T. Schneider, R. Cifelli, K. Redmond, M. Anderson, F. Gehrke, J. Jones, K. Mahoney, L. Johnson, S. Gutman, V. Chandrasekar, J. Lundquist,, N. Molotch, L. Brekke, R. Pulwarty, J. Horel, L. Schick, A. Edman, P. Mote, J. Abatzaglou, R. Pierce and G. Wick, 2014: A vision for future observations for Western U.S. extreme precipitation and flooding. Journal of Contemporary Water Research and Education, 153, 16-32. click here for personal use pdf file Rutz, J. J., W. J. Steenburgh, and F. M. Ralph, 2014: Climatological characteristics of atmospheric rivers and their inland penetration over the Western United States. Monthly Weather Review, 142, 905-921. click here for personal use pdf file Sukovich, E.M., F.M. Ralph, F.E. Barthold, D.W. Reynolds and D.R. Novak, 2014: Extreme quantitative precipitation forecast performance at the Weather Prediction Center from 2001 to 2011. Weather and Forecasting, 29, 894-911. click here for personal use pdf file

Cordeira, J.M., F.M. Ralph, and B.J. Moore, 2013: The development and evolution of two atmospheric rivers in proximity to western North Pacific tropical cyclones in October 2010. Monthly Weather Review, 141, 4234-4255. click here for personal use pdf file

Creamean, J.M., K.J. Suski, D. Rosenfeld, A. Cazorla, P.J. DeMott, R.C. Sullivan, A.B. White, F.M. Ralph, P. Minnis, J.M. Comstock, J.M. Tomlinson, and K.A. Prather, 2013: Dust and biological aerosols from the Sahara and Asia influence precipitation in the western U.S. Science, 339, 1572-1578. click here for personal use pdf file

Das, T., E. P. Maurer, D. W. Pierce, M. D. Dettinger and D. R. Cayan, 2013: Increases in flood magnitudes in California under warming climates. Journal of Hydrology, 501, 101-110. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.07.042 click here for personal use pdf file

Dettinger, M. D., 2013: Atmospheric rivers as drought busters on the US west coast. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 14, 1721-1732. doi:10.1175/JHM-D-13-02.1. click here for personal use pdf file

Dettinger, M. D., and B. L. Ingram, 2013: The coming megafloods. Scientific American, 308(1), 64-71. click here for personal use pdf file

Iacobellis, S. F., and D. R. Cayan, 2013: The variability of California summertime marine stratus: Impacts on surface air temperatures. Journal of Geophysical Research, 118, doi/10.1002/jgrd.50652 click here for personal use pdf file

Kingsmill, D.E., P.J. Neiman, B.J. Moore, M. Hughes, S.E. Yuter, and F.M. Ralph, 2013: Kinematic and thermodynamic structures of Sierra barrier jets and overrunning atmospheric rivers during a land-falling winter storm in northern California. Monthly Weather Review, 141, 2015-2036. click here for personal use pdf file

Matrosov, S. Y., 2013: Characteristics of Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers Inferred from Satellite Observations over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. Monthly Weather Review, 141, 3757–3768. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-12-00324.1 click here for personal use pdf file

Neiman, P. J., M. Hughes, B.J. Moore, F.M. Ralph, and E.S. Sukovich, 2013: Sierra barrier jets, atmospheric rivers, and precipitation characteristics in northern California: A composite perspective based on a network of wind profilers. Monthly Weather Review, 141, 4211-4233, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-13-00112.1 click here for personal use pdf file

Neiman, P. J., F. M. Ralph, B. J. Moore, M. Hughes, K. M. Mahoney, J. M. Cordeira, M. D. Dettinger, 2013: The Landfall and Inland Penetration of a Flood-Producing Atmospheric River in Arizona. Part I: Observed Synoptic-Scale, Orographic, and Hydrometeorological Characteristics. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 14, 460–484, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-12-0101.1 click here for personal use pdf file

Pierce, D.W., T. Das, D.R. Cayan, E.P. Maurer, N.L. Miller, Y. Bao, M. Kanamitsu, K. Yoshimura, M.A. Snyder, L.C. Sloan, G. Franco and M. Tyree, 2013: Probabilistic estimates of future changes in California temperature and precipitation using statistical and dynamical downscaling. Climate Dynamics, 40, 839-856. doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1337-9 click here for personal use pdf file

Ralph, F. M., T. Coleman, P. J. Neiman, R. J. Zamora, M. D. Dettinger, 2013: Observed Impacts of Duration and Seasonality of Atmospheric-River Landfalls on Soil Moisture and Runoff in Coastal Northern California. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 14, 443–459. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-12-076.1 click here for personal use pdf file

Ralph, F. M., and co-authors, 2013: The emergence of weather-related test beds linking research and forecasting operations. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94,1187-1211, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00080.1 click here for personal use pdf file

White, A. B., and co-authors, 2013: A Twenty-First-Century California observing network for monitoring extreme weather events. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 30, 1585-1603, doi:10.1175/JTECH-D-12-00217.1 click here for personal use pdf file

Wick, G.A., P.J. Neiman, and F.M. Ralph, 2013: Description and validation of an automated objective technique for identification and characterization of the integrated water vapor signature of atmospheric rivers. IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, 51, 2166-2176. click here for personal use pdf file

Wick, G.A., P.J. Neiman, F.M. Ralph, and T.M. Hamill, 2013: Evaluation of forecasts of the water vapor signature of atmospheric rivers in operational numerical weather prediction models. Weather and Forecasting, 28, 1337-1352. click here for personal use pdf file