West-WRF Ensemble Forecast Tools

The West-WRF Ensemble is not currently running in real-time in an effort to improve the forecast skill through validation and verification. CW3E will resume real-time forecasting using the West-WRF Ensemble prior to the next cool season.

The products are provided “as is” and are intended for research purposes only (disclaimer). All products on this page are considered experimental.

Ensemble Meteograms

Top Left: Box plot of 3-hour accumulated precipitation from the West-WRF ensemble model. Bottom Left: Probability of 3-hour precipitation exceeding various thresholds (threshold defined by colorbar on bottom) calculated by the number of ensemble members predicting precipitation over each threshold at each forecast lead time. Right: Three hour accumulated precipitation from the each ensemble member shaded according to scale valid at the chosen location. Gray shading represents missing data.




Accumulation Period:

West-WRF Ensemble Home