DWR 2018 Winter Outlook Workshop
31 October – 2 November, 2018
Scripps Institution of Oceanography
Wednesday, October 31st
Jeanine Jones, California Department of Water Resources
Workshop purpose & goals, efforts to advance sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) precipitation forecasting
Mike Anderson, California Department of Water Resources
DWR work to improve forecasting from flood to climate change
Jeanine Jones, California Department of Water Resources
Emerging application for better forecasting – groundwater recharge (e.g., FloodMAR)
Nina Oakley, Western Regional Climate Center
Updating ENSO/precipitation scatter plots for California and the Colorado River Basin/El Niño Modoki
Chad Hecht, Will Chapman, Mike Deflorio, and Sahsa Gershunov, Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes
What happened in WY 2018, observed ARs, SSTs, teleconnections, etc
Thursday, November 1st
Dave DeWitt, National Weather Service, Climate Prediction Center
National Weather Service (NWS) Climate Prediction Center (CPC) activities, implementation of PL 115-25, report to Congress
Nat Johnson, NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory
Accelerating research on seasonal snowpack forecasting
Dan Barrie, NOAA Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections
NOAA MAPP activities
Rong Fu, University of California, Los Angeles
Prototype statistical seasonal prediction for CA/NV winter precipitation
Dave Ruff, United States Bureau of Reclamation
Results of USBR’s forecast rodeo
Duance Waliser, NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory
S2S in the science community (WCRP/WWRP/THORPEX S2S Project, SubX, IWRCC)
Mike Deflorio and Aneesh Subramanian, Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes
Experimental AR S2S outlooks for DWR
Peter Gibson, NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory
Experimental ridging outlooks for DWR
Marty Ralph and Aneesh Subramanian, Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes
Pending work for DWR on weather regimes associated with extreme events, S2S LIM analysis of IVT
Zhenhai Zhang, Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes
The Impact of Winter Storms on the S2S Precipitation Forecast Skill over Upper Colorado Basin
Kristen Guirguis, Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes
Experimental S2S Statistical Outlook
Friday, November 2nd
Mike Anderson, California Department of Water Resources and Dave DeWitt, National Weather Service, Climate Prediction Center
New DWR/NOAA contract for S2S model products
Ben Hatchett, Western Regional Climate Center
Upper Colorado River Basin precipitation taxonomy for DWR