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Atmospheric rivers (ARs) play a key role in the water cycle as the primary mechanism conveying water
vapor through mid-latitude regions. The precipitation that ARs deliver in many parts of the world,
especially through orographic precipitation processes, is important for water resources; but it also
regularly is a hazard, with floods resulting. The aims of the 2016 International Atmospheric Rivers
Conference are
The conference aims to bring together experts from academia and applications to form a real community of interests. Questions on the table include: What meteorological conditions constitute ARs and what do not? How can ARs (and related processes) best be identified and categorized? What are the most promising new research directions for putting AR science into its proper meteorological/climatological context and improving its applicability? |
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| Monday, August 8, 2016 | Tuesday, August 9, 2016 | Wednesday, August 10, 2016 | Thursday, August 11, 2016 | Poster Session |
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Monday, August 8, 2016
| Welcome and Introductory Session | |||
F. Martin Ralph |
Emergence of the Concept of Atmospheric Rivers | ||
Lance Bosart |
The Contributions of Atmospheric Rivers to Extreme Weather Events Arising from the Interactions of Tropical Disturbances with Tropospheric Jet Streams | Abstract | Presentation |
Irina Gorodetskaya |
Atmospheric Rivers Impact on the East Antarctic Surface Mass Balance During Recent Years | Abstract | Presentation |
Jay Jasperse |
ARs and Lake Mendocino FIRO | Abstract | Presentation |
| Applications 1 | |||
Michael Anderson |
Observing and Detecting ARs and its Application to Water Management in California | Abstract | Presentation |
Jeanine Jones |
Atmospheric Rivers - A Potential Tool for Improving Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal Precipitation Forecasting? | Abstract | Presentation |
David Reynolds |
So it's a Land-falling Atmospheric River, Can That Help the Forecaster Make a Better QPF? | Abstract | Presentation |
Chris Smallcomb |
Communicating Forecast Atmospheric River Scenarios in the Sierra and Western Nevada | Abstract | |
Alan Fox |
Local Area Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts for Atmospheric River Events in North-central California Using the MtnRT System | Abstract | Presentation |
| Global and Regional Perspectives 1 | |||
Bin Guan |
Global Perspective of Atmospheric Rivers: Climatology, and Climate Modulation | Abstract | Presentation |
Maximiliano Viale |
The Impacts of Atmospheric Rivers on Precipitation over the West Coast of Southern South America | Abstract | Presentation |
Kyle Mattingly |
Atmospheric River Impacts on the Greenland Ice Sheet | Abstract | Presentation |
Karianne Odemark |
Extreme Precipitation in Norway and the Connection to Atmospheric Rivers | Abstract | Presentation |
James Stuart |
Atmospheric Rivers in Australia? | Abstract | Presentation |
| Breakout Session | |||
Applications and Decision Makers |
Notes | ||
Tuesday, August 9, 2016
| Applications 2 | |||
Lawrence Schick |
Managing Reservoirs for Atmospheric Rivers - The Uneven Balance of Flood Risk and Water Supply | Abstract | Presentation |
Matthew Kelsch |
Atmospheric Rivers Training from UCAR's COMET Program | Abstract | Presentation |
Dale Cox |
AR Science, Natural Hazards Risk Reduction, and ARkStorm | Abstract | Presentation |
Francina Dominguez |
The Lifecycle of an Atmospheric River - from Moisture Sources to Socioeconomic Impacts | Abstract | Presentation |
Maureen McCarthy |
Integrated Modeling of Climate Stress and Resilience in Snow-Fed Arid Lands | Abstract | Presentation |
| Modeling and Methodologies 1 | |||
Duane Waliser |
Atmospheric River Modeling: Forecasts, Climate Simulations and Climate Projections | Abstract | Presentation |
Michael DeFlorio |
Global Prediction Skill of Atmospheric Rivers: Seasonal Variability and Relationship to ENSO Phase | Abstract | Presentation |
Brian Kawzenuk |
Quantification of Atmospheric River Landfall Errors at Bodega Bay, California in the Global Forecast System and West-WRF | Abstract | Presentation |
Andrew Martin |
How do Spectrally Vast AR Thwart Attempts to Skillfully Forecast their Continental Precipitation? | Abstract | Presentation |
Ruby Leung |
Aerosol Effects on Clouds and Precipitation: Insights from CalWater 2015 and a Multi-year Quasi-global Simulation of Trans-Pacific Transport of Aerosols | Abstract | Presentation |
| Observing and Detecting ARs 1 (IOPS/Satellite) | |||
Allen White |
Monitoring Freezing Levels across California: Quantifying the Impacts of ARs and the Recent El Niño | Abstract | Presentation |
Ryan Spackman |
Integrated Observing Strategies for Atmospheric Rivers - Major Field Studies and Future Directions | Abstract | Presentation |
Lynn McMurdie |
Atmospheric Rivers Observed during the Olympic Mountains Experiment (OLYMPEX) Field Campaign | Abstract | Presentation |
Joseph Zagrodnik |
Synoptic and Orographic Control of Observed Drop Size Distribution Regimes in Atmospheric River Events During the OLYMPEX Field Campaign | Abstract | Presentation |
Ju-Mee Ryoo |
Capturing Atmospheric Rivers: Alpha Jet Atmospheric eXperiment (AJAX) Flights in Support of CalWater/El Niño Rapid Response 2016 | Abstract | Presentation |
Andrew Kren |
Impact of Global Hawk Data from the SHOUT-ENRR 2016 Field Campaign on an Atmospheric River in the Central North Pacific | Abstract | Presentation |
Wednesday, August 10, 2016
| Impacts of ARs 1 | |||
Michael Dettinger |
A Survey of the Hydrological and Ecological Effects of Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers | Abstract | Presentation |
Christine Albano |
Linking Inter-Annual Variations of Atmospheric River Landfalls to Vegetation Responses in the Southwestern United States | Abstract | Presentation |
Laurie Huning |
Investigating the Climatological Impact of Atmospheric Rivers in the Sierra Nevada (USA) Seasonal Snowpack | Abstract | Presentation |
Benjamin Hatchett |
The Contributions of Atmospheric Rivers to Avalanche Fatalities in the Western United States | Abstract | Presentation |
| Impacts of ARs 2 | |||
Alexandre Ramos |
Atmospheric Rivers in Europe: From Moisture Sources to Impacts and Future Climate Scenarios | Abstract | Presentation |
Nina Oakley |
Atmospheric Rivers as a Trigger for Post-Fire Debris Flows in the Transverse Ranges of Southern California | Abstract | Presentation |
Ivory Small |
Atmospheric Rivers and Enhanced Integrated Vapor Transport Episodes: Their Role in Damaging Frontal Passages in Southern California with an Emphasis on Strong Winds | Abstract | Presentation |
| Theory, Structure, and Processes 1 | |||
Jason Cordeira |
Mid-Latitude Dynamics and Atmospheric Rivers | Abstract | Presentation |
Tom Beucler |
A Moist Static Energy Perspective on Atmospheric Rivers | Abstract | Presentation |
Benjamin Moore |
Rossby Wave Breaking and Extreme Precipitation in the Central and Eastern U.S. | Abstract | Presentation |
Ola Persson |
Arctic Atmospheric Rivers: Triggers for Linking Atmospheric Synoptic Transport, Cloud Phase, Surface Energy Fluxes, and Sea-ice Growth | ||
Paul Neiman |
An Airborne and Ground-based Study of a Long-lived and Intense Atmospheric River with Mesoscale Frontal Waves Impacting California during CalWater-2014 | Abstract | Presentation |
Christine Shields |
Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP) | Presentation | |
| Modeling and Methodologies 2 | |||
Ruby Leung |
Atmospheric Rivers in a Hierarchy of Climate Simulations: Resolution Sensitivity and Impacts of Global Warming | Abstract | Presentation |
Vicky Espinoza |
Projections of Climate Change Effects on Global Atmospheric River Landfalls | Abstract | Presentation |
Aneesh Subramanian |
Stochastic Multi-scale Atmospheric Modeling for Weather Forecasting: An Atmospheric River Case Study | Abstract | Presentation |
Christine Shields |
U.S. West Coast Versus the U.K. Atmospheric Rivers: Difference in Future Climate Projections | Abstract | Presentation |
| Breakout Session | |||
How we Transform a Collection of Work into a Published Monograph |
Notes | ||
Thursday, August 11, 2016
| Observing and Detecting ARs 2 (ARDT) | |||
Gary Wick |
Recent Updates to Objective Atmospheric River Detection Techniques and Resulting Implications for Atmospheric River Climatologies | Abstract | Presentation |
Jon Rutz |
The Development of an Atmospheric River Catalog at the Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes | Abstract | Presentation |
Alexander Gershunov |
Assessing the Climate-Scale Variability and Seasonal Predictability of Atmospheric Rivers Affecting the West Coast of North America | Abstract | Presentation |
Scott Sellars |
High Dimensional IVT Atmospheric River Characteristics Using "CONNected objECT (CONNECT)" Segmentation Approach: Building a Database of Atmospheric River Events | Abstract | Presentation |
Ali Behrangi |
How Well is Atmospheric River Precipitation Quantified From Space? Composite Analysis over the Western United States | Abstract | Presentation |
| Global and Regional Perspectives 2 | |||
Jon Rutz |
Factors Influencing the Inland Penetration of Atmospheric Rivers over Western North America | Abstract | Presentation |
John Gyakum |
Atmospheric Rivers Over Eastern Canada: Their Seasonality, Impact on Air Mass Dynamics, and Links to Extreme Precipitation | Abstract | Presentation |
Sean Reilly |
Influence of the Santa Cruz Mountains on Precipitation from a Landfalling Atmospheric River | Abstract | Presentation |
Michael Mueller |
Moisture Transport During the Inland-Penetrating Atmospheric River of Early November 2006 in the Pacific Northwest: A High-Resolution Model-based Study | Abstract | Presentation |
Douglas Miller |
Investigation of Atmospheric Rivers Impacting the Pigeon River Basin of the Southern Appalachian Mountains | Abstract | Presentation |
| Theory, Structure, and Processes 2 | |||
F. Martin Ralph |
Airborne and Satellite Observations of AR Structure | ||
Carolyn Reynolds |
Sensitivity of High-Impact Extratropical Cyclones to Water Vapor in Atmospheric Rivers | Abstract | Presentation |
Qianwen Luo |
The Cloud-Radiative Forcing of the Atmospheric Rivers on the U.S. Continents: an Observational Climatology Study | Abstract | Presentation |
Hari Mix |
Coordinated Sampling and Analytical Effort to Examine Interactions Between INPs and Rainout in Winter 2016 ARs in California | Abstract | Presentation |
Gino Passalacqua |
Oceanic Influence on Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers: The Intense Precipitation of February 2-3, 1998 | Abstract | Presentation |
Jesse Nusbaumer |
A Numerical Evaluation of the Sources of Moisture for Atmospheric Rivers that Impact the West Coast of the United States in the Modern Era and 2100 | Abstract | Presentation |
Poster Session
| Applications | |||
Stanley Czyzyk |
Forecasting High Impact Precipitation Events in the Lee of the Southern Sierra, Bishop, CA | Abstract | |
John Dumas |
National Weather Service Forecasters Use GPS Precipitable Water Vapor for Enhanced Situational Awareness during the Southern California Summer Monsoon | Abstract | Poster |
Lauren Muscatine |
How does a Multi-Authored Academic Book Get Published Anyway? | Abstract | Poster |
| Global and Regional Perspectives | |||
Deveshi Buch |
Atmospheric River Event over the Eastern Pacific in February 2014: Analysis and Climatological Context | Abstract | Poster |
Aaron Jacobs |
Atmospheric Rivers in Alaska - Yes they do Exist and are Usually Tied to the Biggest and Most Damaging Rain Generated Floods in Alaska | Abstract | Poster |
Anthony Liu |
Some Unique Features Associated with the June 2013 Alberta Flooding: Precipitation, Atmospheric River and Evapotranspiration | Abstract | Poster |
Benjamin Moore |
Atmospheric Rivers and Heavy Precipitation Events in the Southeastern U.S. | Abstract | |
Richard Moore |
Dynamics and Predictability of an Extreme Norwegian Precipitation Event | ||
Tairu Salami |
Variability of Climatic Elements in Nigeria over Recent 100 Years | ||
| Impacts of ARs | |||
Katie Hirschboeck |
The Role of Inland-Penetrating Atmospheric Rivers in Arizona's Heterogeneous Flood Environment | Abstract | |
Homero Paltan |
Atmospheric Rivers: Shapers of Global Surface Hydrology | ||
| Modeling and Methodologies | |||
Katerina Gonzales |
Response of North Pacific Atmospheric Rivers to Climate Change Conditions | Abstract | Poster |
Michael Murphy |
The Use of Airborne GNSS RO Profiles in Mesoscale Forecasts of an Atmospheric River Event | Abstract | Poster |
| Observing and Detecting ARs | |||
Antonia Gambacorta |
Satellite-based Thermal Sounding Capabilities During Extreme Events: Lessons Learning During CalWater and El Niño Rapid Response Campaigns | Abstract | |
Hao Liu |
Monitor Atmospheric River Initiation, Evolution and Impacts on North America from Joint Satellite Moisture, Wind Vector and Precipitation Information | Abstract | Poster |
Wenze Yang |
Global Atmospheric Rivers Depicted from Satellite and NWP Reanalysis, and their Connection to Weather and Climate Phenomenon | Abstract | Poster |
| Theory, Structure, and Processes | |||
Ju-Mee Ryoo |
Classification of Atmospheric River Events on the U.S. West Coast Using a Trajectory Model | Abstract | Poster |