CW3E AR Update: 5-10 January 2017 Outlook

January 5, 2017

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Strong AR forecast to impact California this weekend

  • Forecasts continue to suggest the landfall of a strong AR over the weekend
  • Updated forecasts indicate that AR duration may decrease, which suggests lower precipitation amounts in some locations
  • Several more river gauges are expected to rise above flood stage
  • Extended forecasts predict another AR early next week potentially bringing more precipitation

Click IVT or IWV image to see loop of 0-144 hour GFS forecast

Valid 1200 UTC 5 Jan – 1200 UTC 11 Jan 2017


 

 

 

 

Summary provided by C. Hecht, B. Kawzenuk, and F.M. Ralph; 3 PM PT Wed 5 Jan. 2017