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Badrinath, A., Delle Monache, L., Hayatbini, N., Chapman, W., Cannon, F., & Ralph, M. (2023). Improving Precipitation Forecasts with Convolutional Neural Networks. Weather and Forecasting, 38(2), 291-306. https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0002.1

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Castellano, C. M., DeFlorio, M. J., Gibson, P. B., Delle Monache, L., Kalansky, J. F., Wang, J., Guirguis, K., Gershunov, A., Ralph, F. M., Subramanian, A. C., & Anderson, M. L. (2023). Development of a statistical subseasonal forecast tool to predict California atmospheric rivers and precipitation based on MJO and QBO activity. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128(6), e2022JD037360. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD037360

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Cobb, A., Cordeira, J., Dettinger, M., Aikens, C., Delaney, C., Forbis, J., Jasperse, J., Hartman, R., Martin Ralph, F., Sumargo, E., Talbot, C., Wilson, A. M., & Yeates, E. (2023). A Multidisciplinary Training Opportunity for the Next Generation of Forecast-Informed Reservoir Operations (FIRO) Collaborators. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 104, E1372–E1381, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0004.1.

Cobb, A., Steinhoff, D., Weihs, R., Delle Monache, L., DeHaan, L., Reynolds, D., Cannon, F., Kawzenuk, B., Papadopolous, C., Ralph, F.M., 2023: West-WRF 34-Year Reforecast: Description and Validation. J. Hydrometeor., https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-22-0235.1, in press

DeHaan, L. L., Wilson, A.M., Kawzenuk, B., Zheng, M., Delle Monach, L., Wu, X., Lavers, D.A., Ingleby, B., Tallapragada, V., Pappenberger, F., and Ralph, F.M., 2023: Impacts of Dropsonde Observations on Forecasts of Atmospheric Rivers and Associated Precipitation in the NCEP GFS and ECMWF IFS models. Wea. Forecasting, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-23-0025.1, in press

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Guan, B., Waliser, D. E., & Ralph, F. M. (2023). Global application of the atmospheric river scale. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128(3), e2022JD037180. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD037180

Guirguis, K., Gershunov, A., Hatchett, B., Shulgina, T., DeFlorio, M. J., Subramanian, A. C., Guzman-Morales, J. Aguilera, R., Clemesha, R., Corringham, T. W., Delle Monache, L., Reynolds, D., Tardy, A., Small, I., & Ralph, F. M. (2023). Winter wet–dry weather patterns driving atmospheric rivers and Santa Ana winds provide evidence for increasing wildfire hazard in California. Climate Dynamics , 60, 1729-1749. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06361-7

Guirguis, K., Gershunov, A., Hatchett, B. J., DeFlorio, M. J., Subramanian, A. C., Clemesha, R., Delle Monache, L., & Ralph, F. M. (2023). Subseasonal prediction of impactful California winter weather in a hybrid dynamical-statistical framework. Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2023GL105360. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105360

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Hu, W., Ghazvinian, M., Chapman, W. E., Sengupta, A., Ralph, F. M., & Delle Monache, L. (2023). Deep Learning Forecast Uncertainty for Precipitation over Western US. Monthly Weather Review 151(6), 1367-1385. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0268.1

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Sengupta, A., Singh, B., DeFlorio, M., Raymond, C., Robertson, A. W., Zeng, X., Waliser, D. E., & Jones, J. (2022). Advances in Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction Relevant to Water Management in the Western United States, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103, E2168-E2175. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0146.1

Sengupta, A., Waliser, D. E., Massoud, E. C., Guan, B., Raymond, C., & Lee, H. (2022). Representation of Atmospheric Water Budget and Uncertainty Quantification of Future Changes in CMIP6 for the Seven U.S. National Climate Assessment Regions, Journal of Climate, 35, 3635-3658. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0114.1

Shearer, E.J., Afzali Gorooh, V., Nguyen, P., Hsu, K.L. and Sorooshian, S., (2022). Unveiling four decades of intensifying precipitation from tropical cyclones using satellite measurements. Scientific reports, Sci Rep, 12, 13569., https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-17640-y

Stewart, B. E., Cordeira, J. M., & Ralph, F. M. (2022). Evaluating GFS and ECMWF Ensemble Forecasts of Integrated Water Vapor Transport Along the U.S. West Coast, Weather and Forecasting, 37, 1985-2004. https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0114.1

Sun, W., Liu, Z., Davis, C. A., Ralph, F. M., Delle Monache, L., Zheng, M., 2022. Impacts of dropsonde and satellite observations on the forecasts of two atmospheric-river-related heavy rainfall events. Atmos. Res. 278, 106327. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106327

Sun, R., Villas Bôas, A. B., Subramanian, A. C., Cornuelle, B. D., Mazloff, M. R., Miller, A. J., et al. (2022). Focusing and defocusing of tropical cyclone generated waves by ocean current refraction. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 127, e2021JC018112. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JC018112

Wang, J., H. M. Kim, and M. J. DeFlorio (2022), Future changes of PNA-like MJO teleconnections in CMIP6 models: underlying mechanisms and uncertainty, Journal of Climate, 35, 3459-3478. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0445.1

White, C. J., Domeisen, D. I. V., Acharya, N., Adefisan, E. A., Anderson, M. L., Aura, S., Balogun, A. A., Bertram, D., Bluhm, S., Brayshaw, D. J., Browell, J., Büeler, D., Charlton-Perez, A., Chourio, X., Christel, I., Coelho, C. A. S., DeFlorio, M. J., Delle Monache, L., Di Giuseppe, F., García-Solórzano, A. M., Gibson, P. B., Goddard, L., González Romero, C., Graham, R. J., Graham, R. M., Grams, C. M., Halford, A., Katty Huang, W. T., Jensen, K., Kilavi, M., Lawal, K. A., Lee, R. W., MacLeod, D., Manrique-Suñén, A., Martins, E. S. P. R., Maxwell, C. J., Merryfield, W. J., Muñoz, Á. G., Olaniyan, E., Otieno, G., Oyedepo, J. A., Palma, L., Pechlivanidis, I. G., Pons, D., Ralph, F. M., Reis, D. S., Jr., Remenyi, T. A., Risbey, J. S., Robertson, D. J. C., Robertson, A. W., Smith, S., Soret, A., Sun, T., Todd, M. C., Tozer, C. R., Vasconcelos, F. C., Jr., Vigo, I., Waliser, D. E., Wetterhall, F., & Wilson, R. G. (2021). Advances in the application and utility of subseasonal-to-seasonal predictions, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103, E1448-E1472. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0224.1

Wilson, A. M., Cobb, A., Ralph, F. M., Tallapragada, V., Davis, C., Doyle, J., Delle Monache, L., Pappenberger, F., Reynolds, C., Subramanian, A., Cannon, F., Cordeira, J., Haase, J., Hecht, C., Lavers, D., Rutz, J. J., & Zheng, M. (2022). Atmospheric River Reconnaissance Workshop Promotes Research and Operations Partnership, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103, E810-E816. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0259.1

Adusumilli, S., Fish, M., Fricker, H. A., & Medley, B. (2021). Atmospheric River Precipitation Contributed to Rapid Increases in Surface Height of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet in 2019. Geophysical Research Letters, 48, e2020GL091076, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL091076

Bartlett, S. M., & Cordeira, J. M. (2021). A Climatological Study of National Weather Service Watches, Warnings, and Advisories and Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers in the Western U.S. 2006–2018, Weather and Forecasting, 36(3), 1097-1112. https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0212.1

Beall, C.M., Michaud, J.M., Fish, M.A., Dinasquet, J., Cornwell, G.C., Stokes, M.D., Burkart, M.D., Hill, T.C., DeMott, P.J., Prather, K.A., (2021). Cultivable halotolerant ice-nucleating bacteria and fungi in coastal precipitation, Atmos. Chem. Phys. 21, 9031-9045 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-9031-2021

Cao, Q., Shukla, S., DeFlorio, M. J., Ralph, F. M., & Lettenmaier, D. P. (2021). Evaluation of the subseasonal forecast skill of floods associated with atmospheric rivers in coastal Western U.S. watersheds, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22, 1535–1552, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0219.1

Cayan, D. R, Buhler, M., Goodrich, J., Dulen, D., & Alden, D. (2021). Relief from summer warming: Devils Postpile National Monument’s cold air pool supports a refugium-based conservation strategy. Park Stewardship Forum, 37(3). http://dx.doi.org/10.5070/P537354744

Chapman, W. E., Subramanian, A. C., Xie, S., Sierks, M. D., Ralph, F. M., & Kamae, Y. (2021). Monthly Modulations of ENSO Teleconnections: Implications for Potential Predictability in North America, Journal of Climate, 34, 5899-5921, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0391.1

Cobb, A., A. Michaelis, S. Iacobellis, F.M. Ralph, and L. Delle Monache, 2021: Atmospheric river sectors: Definition and characteristics observed using dropsondes from 2014-2020 CalWater and AR Recon. Mon. Wea. Rev., 149, 623-644, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0177.1.

Cobb, A., Delle Monache, L., Cannon, F., & Ralph, F. M. (2021). Representation of dropsonde-observed atmospheric river conditions in reanalyses. Geophysical Research Letters, 48, e2021GL093357, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL093357

Cordeira, J. M., & Ralph, F. M. (2021). A Summary of GFS Ensemble Integrated Water Vapor Transport Forecasts and Skill Along the U.S. West Coast during Water Years 2017–2020, Weather and Forecasting, 36, 361-377, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0121.1

de Orla-Barile, M., Cannon, F., Oakley, N. S., & Ralph, F. M. (2021). A Climatology of Narrow Cold-Frontal Rainbands in Southern California. Geophysical Research Letters, 48, e2021GL095362. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL095362

DeHaan, L. L., Martin, A. C., Weihs, R. R., Delle Monache, L., & Ralph, F. M. (2021). Object-based Verification of Atmospheric River Predictions in the Northeast Pacific, Weather and Forecasting, 36, 1575–1587. https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0236.1

DeFlorio, M. J., F. M. Ralph, D. E. Waliser, J. Jones, and M. L. Anderson (2021), Better subseasonal-to-seasonal forecasts for water management, Eos, 102, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EO159749

Demirdjian, R., R. Rotunno, B. Cornuelle, C.A. Reynolds, & J.D. Doyle, 2021: The Circulation Response of a Two-Dimensional Frontogenetic Model to Optimized Moisture Perturbations. J. Atmos. Sci., 78, 459-472, https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-20-0102.1

Eiras-Barca, J., Ramos, A.M., Algarra, I., Vazquez, M., Dominguez, F., Miguez-Macho, G., Nieto, R., Gimeno, L., Taboada, J., Ralph, F.M. (2021). European West Coast atmospheric rivers: A scale to characterize strength and impacts, Weather and Climate Extremes, 31, 10035, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2021.100305

Ferrer, E.M., Cavole, L.M., Clausnitzer, S., Dias, D.F., Osborne, T.C., Sugla, R., Harrison, E., (2021). Entering Negotiations: Early-Career Perspectives on the UN Conference of Parties and the Unfolding Climate Crisis, Frontiers in Marine Science, 8, 474, 2296-7745, DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2021.632874

Gibson, P.B., Chapman, W.E., Altinok, A., Delle Monache, L., DeFlorio, M.J, & Waliser, D.E. Training machine learning models on climate model output yields skillful interpretable seasonal precipitation forecasts. Communications Earth & Environment 2, 159 (2021), https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00225-4

Haase, J. S., Murphy, M. J., Cao, B., Ralph, F. M., Zheng, M., & Delle Monache, L. (2021). Multi-GNSS airborne radio occultation observations as a complement to dropsondes in atmospheric river reconnaissance. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126, e2021JD034865. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD034865

Lancaster, J.T., Swanson, B.J., Lukashov, S.G., Oakley, N.S., Lee, J.B., Spangler, E.R., Hernandez, J.L., Olson, B.P.E., DeFrisco, M.J., Lindsay, D.N., Schwartz, Y.J., McCrea, S.E., Roffers, P.D., Tran, C.M., 2021: Observations and Analyses of the 9 January 2018 Debris-Flow Disaster, Santa Barbara County, California. Environmental and Engineering Geoscience; 27 (1), 3–27. doi:https://doi.org/10.2113/EEG-D-20-00015

Mascioli, N. R., Evan, A., & Ralph, M. (2021). Influence of dust on precipitation during landfalling atmospheric rivers in an idealized framework. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126, e2021JD034813. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD034813

McGuire, L.A., Rengers, F.K., Oakley, N.S., Kean, J.W., Staley, D.M., Tang, H., de Orla-Barile, M., Youberg, A.M, 2021: Time Since Burning and Rainfall Characteristics Impact Post-Fire Debris-Flow Initiation and Magnitude. Environmental and Engineering Geoscience, 27 (1), 43–56. doi:https://doi.org/10.2113/EEG-D-20-00029

Michaelis, A. C., Martin, A. C., Fish, M. A., Hecht, C. W., & Ralph, F. M. (2021). Modulation of Atmospheric Rivers by Mesoscale Frontal Waves and Latent Heating: Comparison of Two U.S. West Coast Events, Monthly Weather Review, 149, 2755–2776, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0364.1

Oakley, N. S. (2021). A warming climate adds complexity to post-fire hydrologic hazard planning. Earth's Future, 9, e2021EF002149. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002149

Pagano, T. J., Waliser, D. E., Guan, B., Ye, H., Ralph, F. M., & Kim, J. (2021). Extreme Surface Winds During Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers: The Modulating Role of Near-Surface Stability, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22, 1681–1693, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0165.1

Prince, H. D., Cullen, N. J., Gibson, P. B., Conway J., & Kingston, D. G. (2021). A climatology of atmospheric rivers in New Zealand, Journal of Climate, 34, 4383–4402, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0664.1

Prince, H. D., Gibson, P. B., DeFlorio, M. J., Corringham, T. W, Cobb, A., Guan, B., Ralph, F.M., Waliser, D.E. (2021). Genesis Locations of the Costliest Atmospheric Rivers Impacting the Western United States. Geophysical Research Letters, 48, e2021GL093947. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL093947

Ramos, A.M., Roca, R., Soares, P.M.M., Wilson, A.M., Tigo, R.M. & Ralph, F.M. (2021). Uncertainty in different precipitation products in the case of two atmospheric river events. Environmental Research Letters, 16, 045012, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abe25b

Schwartz, J. Y., Oakley, N.S., Alessio, P.; Assessment of a Post-Fire Debris Flow Impacting El Capitan Watershed, Santa Barbara County, California, U.S.A. Environmental and Engineering Geoscience 2021, 27 (4), 423-437. doi: https://doi.org/10.2113/EEG-D-21-00008. click here for personal use pdf

Sumargo, E., McMillan, H., Weihs, R., Ellis, C.J., Wilson, A.M. and Ralph, F.M. (2021), A Soil Moisture Monitoring Network to Assess Controls on Runoff Generation During Atmospheric River Events. Hydrological Processes, 35, e13998, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.13998

Sun, R., Subramanian, A. C., Cornuelle, B. D., Mazloff, M. R., Miller, A. J., Ralph, F. M., et al. (2021). The role of air‐sea interactions in atmospheric rivers: Case studies using the SKRIPS regional coupled model. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126, e2020JD032885. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD032885

Voss, K. K., Evan, A. T., & Ralph, F. M. (2021). Evaluating the meteorological conditions associated with dusty atmospheric rivers. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126, e2021JD035403. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD035403

Zhang, Z., & Ralph, F. M. (2021). The Influence of Antecedent Atmospheric River Conditions on Extratropical Cyclogenesis, Monthly Weather Review, 149, 1337–1357, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0212.1

Zheng, M., Delle Monache, L., Cornuelle, B. D., Ralph, F. M., Tallapragada, V. S., Subramanian, A., et al. (2021). Improved Forecast Skill through the Assimilation of Dropsonde Observations from the Atmospheric River Reconnaissance Program. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126, e2021JD034967. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD034967

Zheng, M., L. Delle Monache, X. Wu, F.M. Ralph, B. Cornuelle, V. Tallapragada, J.S. Haase, A.M. Wilson, M. Mazloff, A. Subramanian, and F. Cannon, 2021: Data Gaps within Atmospheric Rivers over the Northeastern Pacific. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 102, E492–E524, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0287.1

Brandt, W. T., Bormann, K. J., Cannon, F., Deems, J. S., Painter, T. H., Steinhoff, D. F., & Dozier, J. (2020)Quantifying the spatial variability of a snowstorm using differential airborne lidar. Water Resources Research, 56, e2019WR025331. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019WR025331

Cannon, F., J.M. Cordeira, C.W. Hecht, J.R. Norris, A. Michaelis, R. Demirdjian, and F.M. Ralph, 2020: GPM Satellite Radar Observations of Precipitation Mechanisms in Atmospheric Rivers. Mon. Wea. Rev., 148, 1449-1463, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0278.1

Cannon, F., N.S. Oakley, C.W. Hecht, A. Michaelis, J.M. Cordeira, B. Kawzenuk, R. Demirdjian, R. Weihs, M.A. Fish, A.M. Wilson, and F.M. Ralph, 2020: Observations and Predictability of a High-Impact Narrow Cold-Frontal Rainband over Southern California on 2 February 2019. Wea. Forecasting, 35, 2083–2097, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0012.1.

Cao, Q., A. Gershunov, T. Shulgina, F.M. Ralph, N. Sun, and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2020: Floods due to atmospheric rivers along the U.S. West Coast: The role of antecedent soil moisture in a warming climate. J. Hydrometeor., 21, 1827-1845, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-19-0242.1.

Collins, B. D., Oakley, N. S., Perkins, J. P., East, A. E., Corbett, S. C., & Hatchett, B. J. (2020). Linking Mesoscale Meteorology With Extreme Landscape Response: Effects of NCFR. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 125, e2020JF005675. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JF005675

Cooper, A. E., J.W. Kirchner, S. Wolf, D.L. Lombardozzi, B.W. Sullivan, S.W. Tyler, A.A. Harpold, 2020: Snowmelt causes different limitations on transpiration in a Sierra Nevada conifer forest. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 291, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108089.

Delaney, C. J., Hartman, R. K., Mendoza, J., Dettinger, M., Monache, L. D., Jasperse, J., Ralph, F. M., Talbot, C., Brown, J., & Reynolds, D. (2020). Forecast Informed Reservoir Operations Using Ensemble Streamflow Predictions for a Multi‐Purpose Reservoir in Northern California. Water Resources Research, 56, e2019WR026604, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019WR026604.

Demirdjian, R., Doyle, J.D., Reynolds, C.A. Norris, J.A., Michaelis, A.C., Ralph, F.M., 2020: A Case Study of the Physical Processes Associated with the Atmospheric River Initial Condition Sensitivity from an Adjoint Model. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 77, 691-709, DOI 10.1175/JAS-D-19-0155.1. click here for personal use pdf file

Demirdjian, R., J.R. Norris, A. Martin, and F.M. Ralph, 2020: Dropsonde Observations of the Ageostrophy within the Pre-Cold-Frontal Low-Level Jet Associated with Atmospheric Rivers. Mon. Wea. Rev., 148, 1389-1406, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0248.1

Gibson, P.B., D.E. Waliser, B. Guan, M.J. DeFlorio, F.M. Ralph, and D.L. Swain, 2020: Ridging associated with drought across the Western and Southwestern United States: characteristics, trends and predictability sources. J. Climate, 33, 2485-2508, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0439.1

Gibson, P. B., Waliser, D. E., Goodman, A., DeFlorio, M. J., Delle Monache, L., & Molod, A. (2020). Subseasonal‐to‐seasonal hindcast skill assessment of ridging events related to drought over the Western United States. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125, e2020JD033655. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD033655

Guirguis, K., A. Gershunov, M.J. DeFlorio, T. Shulgina, L. Delle Monache, A.C. Subramanian, T.W. Corringham, and F.M. Ralph, 2020: Four North Pacific atmospheric circulation regimes and their relationship to California precipitation on daily to seasonal timescales. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL087609, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL087609

Hatchett, B.J., Q. Cao, P.B. Dawson, C.J. Ellis, C.W. Hecht, B. Kawzenuk, J.T. Lancaster, T. Osborne, A.M. Wilson, M.L. Anderson, M.D. Dettinger, J. Kalansky, M.L. Kaplan, D.P. Lettenmaier, N.S. Oakley, F.M. Ralph, D.W. Reynolds, A.B. White, M. Sierks, E. Sumargo. (2020). Observations of an extreme atmospheric river storm with a diverse sensor network. Earth and Space Science, 7, 2333-5084, e2020EA001129. doi:10.1029/2020EA001129

Henn, B., Musselman, K. N., Lestak, L., Ralph, F. M., & Molotch, N. P.. (2020). Extreme runoff generation from atmospheric river driven snowmelt during the 2017 Oroville Dam spillways incident. Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL088189. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088189

Henn, B., R. Weihs, A.C. Martin, F.M. Ralph, and T. Osborne, 2020: Skill of rain-snow level forecasts for landfalling atmospheric rivers: A multi-model model assessment using California’s network of vertically profiling radars J. Hydrometeor, 21, 751-771, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-18-0212.1

Lamjiri, M.A., F.M. Ralph, and M.D. Dettinger, 2020: Recent Changes in United States Extreme 3-Day Precipitation Using the R-CAT Scale. J. Hydrometeor., 21, 1207–1221, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-19-0171.1

Lavers, D.A., N.B. Ingleby, A.C. Subramanian, D.S. Richardson, F.M. Ralph, J.D. Doyle, C.A. Reynolds, R.D. Torn, M.J. Rodwell, V. Tallapragada, and F. Pappenberger, 2020: Forecast Errors and Uncertainties in Atmospheric Rivers. Wea. Forecasting, 35, 1447–1458, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0049.1

Lavers, D.A., Ralph, F.M., Richardson, D.S. and Pappenberger, F., 2020: Improved forecasts of atmospheric rivers through systematic reconnaissance, better modelling, and insights on conversion of rain to flooding. Commun Earth Environ, 1, 39, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-020-00042-1

Lawrimore, J.H., D. Wuertz, A.M. Wilson, S. Stevens, M. Menne, B. Korzeniewski, M.A. Palecki, R.D. Leeper, and T. Trunk, 2020: Quality Control and Processing of Cooperative Observer Program Hourly Precipitation Data. J. Hydrometeor., 21, 1811-1825, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-19-0300.1

Massoud, E. C., H. Lee, P. B. Gibson, P. Loikith, and D. E. Waliser, 2020: Bayesian Model Averaging of Climate Model Projections Constrained by Precipitation Observations over the Contiguous United States. J. Hydrometeor., 21, 2401–2418, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-19-0258.1

Merryfield, W.J., J. Baehr, L. Batté, E.J. Becker, A.H. Butler, C.A. Coelho, G. Danabasoglu, P.A. Dirmeyer, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, D.I. Domeisen, L. Ferranti, T. Ilynia, A. Kumar, W.A. Müller, M. Rixen, A.W. Robertson, D.M. Smith, Y. Takaya, M. Tuma, F. Vitart, C.J. White, M.S. Alvarez, C. Ardilouze, H. Attard, C. Baggett, M.A. Balmaseda, A.F. Beraki, P.S. Bhattacharjee, R. Bilbao, F.M. de Andrade, M.J. DeFlorio, L.B. Díaz, M.A. Ehsan, G. Fragkoulidis, S. Grainger, B.W. Green, M.C. Hell, J.M. Infanti, K. Isensee, T. Kataoka, B.P. Kirtman, N.P. Klingaman, J. Lee, K. Mayer, R. McKay, J.V. Mecking, D.E. Miller, N. Neddermann, C.H. Justin Ng, A. Ossó, K. Pankatz, S. Peatman, K. Pegion, J. Perlwitz, G.C. Recalde-Coronel, A. Reintges, C. Renkl, B. Solaraju-Murali, A. Spring, C. Stan, Y.Q. Sun, C.R. Tozer, N. Vigaud, S. Woolnough, and S. Yeager, 2020: Current and emerging developments in subseasonal to decadal prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101(6), E869–E896, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0037.1

Nguyen, P., E.J. Shearer, M. Ombadi, V.A. Gorooh, K. Hsu, S. Sorooshian, W.S. Logan, and F.M. Ralph, 2020: PERSIANN Dynamic Infrared–Rain Rate Model (PDIR) for High-Resolution, Real-Time Satellite Precipitation Estimation. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101(3), E286-E302 https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0118.1

Norris, J.R., F.M. Ralph, R. Demirdjian, F. Cannon, B. Blomquist, C.W. Fairall, J.R. Spackman, S. Tanelli, and D.E. Waliser, 2020: The Observed Water Vapor Budget in an Atmospheric River over the Northeast Pacific. J. Hydrometeor., 21, 2655–2673, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0048.1

O'Brien, T.A., A.E. Payne, C.A. Shields, J. Rutz, S. Brands, C. Castellano, J. Chen, W. Cleveland, M.J. DeFlorio, N. Goldenson, I. Gorodetskaya, H.I. Díaz, K. Kashinath, B. Kawzenuk, S. Kim, M. Krinitskiy, J.M. Lora, B. McClenny, A. Michaelis, J. O’Brien, C.M. Patricola, A.M. Ramos, E.J. Shearer, W.-W. Tung, P. Ullrich, M.F. Wehner, K. Yang, R. Zhang, Z. Zhang, and Y. Zhou. Detection Uncertainty Matters for Understanding Atmospheric Rivers. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101(6), E790-E796, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0348.1

Payne, A.E., M. Demory, L.R. Leung, A.M. Ramos, C.A. Shields, J.J. Rutz., N. Siler, G. Villarini, A. Hall, F.M. Ralph. 2020: Responses and impacts of atmospheric rivers to climate change. Nat Rev Earth Environ, 1, 143–157 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-020-0030-5

Ralph, F. M., F. Cannon, V. Tallapragada, C. A. Davis, J. D. Doyle, F. Pappenberger, A. Subramanian, A. M. Wilson, D. A. Lavers, C. A. Reynolds, J. Haase, J. J. Rutz, J. M. Cordeira, M. Zheng, C. W. Hecht, B. Kawzenuk, L. Delle Monache, 2020: West Coast Forecast Challenges and Development of Atmospheric River Reconnaissance. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101(8), E1357–E1377, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0183.1

Rengers, F.K., McGuire, L.A., Oakley, N.S., Kean, J.W., Staley, D.M., and Tang, H. Landslides after wildfire: initiation, magnitude, and mobility. Landslides 17, 2631-2641 (2020), https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-020-01506-3

Ryoo J., Chiao, S., Spackman, R.J., Iraci, L.T., Ralph, F.M., Martin, A., Dole, R.M., Marrero, J.E., Yates, E.L., Bui, T.P., Dean-Day, J.M., Chang, C.S., 2020: Terrain Trapped Airflows and Precipitation Variability during an Atmospheric River Event. J. Hydrometeor., 21, 355-375, doi:https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-19-0040.1, click here for personal use pdf file

Sanders, M.C., J.M. Cordeira, and N.D. Metz, 2020: Hydrometeorological Characteristics of Ice Jams on the Pemigewasset River in Central New Hampshire. J. Hydrometeor., 21, 2923–2942, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0027.1

Shearer, E. J., Nguyen, P., Sellars, S. L., Analui, B., Kawzenuk, B., Hsu, K., et al. (2020). Examination of global midlatitude atmospheric river lifecycles using an object‐oriented methodology. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125, e2020JD033425. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD033425

Sierks, M.D., J. Kalansky, F. Cannon, and F. Ralph, 2020: Characteristics, Origins, and Impacts of Summertime Extreme Precipitation in the Lake Mead Watershed. J. Climate, 33, 2663-2680, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0387.1

Slinskey, E.A., P.C. Loikith, D.E. Waliser, B. Guan, and A. Martin, 2020: A Climatology of Atmospheric Rivers and Associated Precipitation for the Seven US National Climate Assessment Regions. J. Hydrometeor., 21, 2439-2456, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0039.1

Stone, R.E., C.A. Reynolds, J.D. Doyle, R. Langland, N. Baker, D.A. Lavers, and F.M. Ralph, 2020: Atmospheric River Reconnaissance Observation Impact in the Navy Global Forecast System. Mon. Wea. Rev., 148, 763-782, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0101.1

Sumargo, E., Cannon, F., Ralph, F. M., & Henn, B. (2020). Freezing Level Forecast Error Can Consume Reservoir Flood Control Storage: Potentials for Lake Oroville and New Bullards Bar Reservoirs in California. Water Resources Research, 56, e2020WR027072. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020WR027072

Sumargo, E., A.M. Wilson, F.M. Ralph, R. Weihs, A. White, J. Jasperse, M.A. Lamjiri, S. Turnbull, C. Downer, and L. Delle Monache, 2020: The Hydrometeorological Observation Network in California’s Russian River Watershed: Development, Characteristics and Key Findings from 1997 to 2019. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101(10), E1781–E1800, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0253.1

Voss, K.K., and A. Evan, 2020: A new satellite-based global climatology of dust aerosol optical depth. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 59, 83-102, https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-19-0194.1

Voss, K.K., A.T. Evan, K.A. Prather, and F.M. Ralph, 2020: Dusty Atmospheric Rivers: Characteristics and Origins. J. Climate., 33, 9749-9762, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0059.1

Wilson, A.M., W. Chapman, A. Payne, A.M. Ramos, C. Boehm, D. Campos, J. Cordeira, R. Garreaud, I.V. Gorodetskaya, J.J. Rutz, C. Viceto, and F.M. Ralph, 2020: Training the Next Generation of Researchers in the Science and Application of Atmospheric Rivers. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101(6), E738-E743, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0311.1

Adusumilli, S., Borsa, A. A., Fish, M. A., McMillan, H. K., & Silverii, F. ( 2019). A decade of terrestrial water storage changes across the contiguous United States from GPS and GRACE. Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 13006-13015, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085370

Aguilera, R., A. Gershunov, T. Benmarhnia, 2019: Atmospheric rivers impact California's coastal water quality via extreme precipitation. Science of the Total Environment, 671, 488-494, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.03.318

Cao, Q., A. Mehran, F.M. Ralph, and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2019: The role of hydrological initial conditions on Atmospheric River floods in the Russian River basin. J. Hydrometeor., 20, 1667-1686. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-19-0030.1

Chapman, W. E., Subramanian, A. C., Delle Monache, L., Xie, S. P., & Ralph, F. M. 2019: Improving Atmospheric River Forecasts with Machine Learning. Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 10627-10635, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083662

Cordeira, J.M., J. Stock, M.D. Dettinger, A.M. Young, J.F. Kalansky, and F.M. Ralph, 2019: A 142-year Climatology of Northern California Landslides and Atmospheric Rivers. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100(8), 1499-1509, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0158.1

Corringham, T.W. and D.R. Cayan, 2019: The Effect of El Niño on Flood Damages in the Western United States. Wea. Climate Soc., 11, 489–504, https://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-18-0071.1

Corringham, T.W. Ralph, F.M., Gershunov, A., Cayan, D.R., and Talbot, C.A., 2019: Atmospheric rivers drive flood damages in the western United States. Science Advances, 5, 12, eaax4631, DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aax4631

DeFlorio, M., D. Waliser, B. Guan, F.M. Ralph, and F. Vitart, 2019: Global evaluation of atmospheric river subseasonal prediction skill. Climate Dynamics, 52, 3039-3060, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4309-x

DeFlorio, M. J., D.E. Waliser, F.M. Ralph, B. Guan, A. Goodman, P.B. Gibson, S. Asharaf, L. Delle Monache, Z. Zhang, A.C. Subramanian, F. Vitart, H. Lin, and A. Kumar, 2019: Experimental Subseasonal‐to‐Seasonal (S2S) Forecasting of Atmospheric Rivers Over the Western United States. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124, 11,242-11,265, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD031200

Fish, M.A., A.M. Wilson, and F.M. Ralph, 2019: Atmospheric River Families: Definition and Associated Synoptic Conditions. J. Hydrometeor., 20, 2091-2108, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-18-0217.1

Gershunov, A., T. Shulgina, R.E.S. Clemesha, K. Guirguis, D.W. Pierce, M.D. Dettinger, D.A. Lavers, D.R. Cayan, S.D. Polade, J.F. Kalansky and F.M. Ralph, 2019: Precipitation regime change in Western North America: The role of Atmospheric Rivers. Scientific Reports, 9, 9944, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-46169-w

Gibson, P.B., D.E. Waliser, and M.J. DeFlorio, 2019: A critical examination of a newly proposed interhemispheric teleconnection to Southwestern US winter precipitation. Nature Communications, 10, 2687, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-10528-y

Guan, B., and D.E. Waliser, 2019: Tracking Atmospheric Rivers Globally: Spatial Distributions and Temporal Evolution of Life Cycle Characteristics. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124, 12,523–12,552. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD031205

Guirguis, K., Gershunov, A., Shulgina, T., Clemesha, R.E.S., Ralph, F.M., 2019: Atmospheric rivers impacting Northern California and their modulation by a variable climate. Climate Dynamics, 52, 6569-6583, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4532-5

Lukashov, S.G., Lancaster, J.T., Oakley, N.S., Swanson, B.J., 2019, Post-fire debris flows of 9 January 2018, Thomas Fire, Southern California: Initiation areas, precipitation and impacts: In Seventh International Conference on Debris-Flow Hazards Mitigation, Association of Environmental and Engineering Geologists Special Publication 28, p. 774-781. ISBN: 978-0-578-51082-8.

Martin, A.C., G. Cornwell, C.M. Beall, F. Cannon, S. Reilly, B. Schaap, D. Lucero, J. Creamean, F.M. Ralph, H.T. Mix, and K. Prather, 2019: Contrasting local and long-range-transported warm ice-nucleating particles during an atmospheric river in coastal California, USA. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics., 19, 4193-4210, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-4193-2019

Martin, A.C., F.M. Ralph, A. Wilson, L. DeHaan, and B. Kawzenuk, 2019: Rapid Cyclogenesis from a Mesoscale Frontal Wave on an Atmospheric River: Impacts on Forecast Skill and Predictability during Atmospheric River Landfall. J. Hydrometeor., 20, 1779-1794, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-18-0239.1

Mix, H.T., S.P. Reilly, A. Martin, and G. Cornwell, 2019: Evaluating the Roles of Rainout and Post-Condensation Processes in a Landfalling Atmospheric River with Stable Isotopes in Precipitation and Water Vapor. Atmosphere, 10(2), 86, https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos10020086

Murphy, M.J., J.S. Haase, R. Padulles, S.-H. Chen, M.A. Morris, 2019: The Potential for Discriminating Microphysical Processes in Numerical Weather Forecasts Using Airborne Polarimetric Radio Occultations. Remote Sens., 11, 2268 https://doi.org/10.3390/rs11192268

Ralph, F.M., J.J. Rutz, J.M. Cordeira, M. Dettinger, M. Anderson, D. Reynolds, L.J. Schick, and C. Smallcomb, 2019: A Scale to Characterize the Strength and Impacts of Atmospheric Rivers. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 100(2), 269-289, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0023.1

Ralph, F.M., A.M. Wilson, T. Shulgina, B. Kawzenuk, S. Sellars, J.J. Rutz, M.A. Lamjiri, E.A. Barnes, A. Gershunov, B. Guan, K.M. Nardi, T. Osborne, and G.A. Wick, 2019: ARTMIP-early start comparison of atmospheric river detection tools: how many atmospheric rivers hit northern California’s Russian River watershed?. Climate Dynamics, 52, 4973-4994, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4427-5

Ramos, A.M., Wilson, A.M., Deflorio, M.J., Warner, M.D., Barnes, E., Garreaud, R., Gorodetskaya, I.V., Lavers, D.A., Moore, B., Payne, A., Smallcomb, C., Sodemann, H., Wehner, M., Ralph, F.M., 2019: International Atmospheric Rivers Conference: Multi‐disciplinary studies and high‐impact applications of atmospheric rivers. Atmos Sci Lett., 20, e935. https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.935

Reynolds, C.A., J.D. Doyle, F.M. Ralph, and R. Demirdjian, 2019: Adjoint Sensitivity of North Pacific Atmospheric River Forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 147, 1871-1897, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-18-0347.1

Roche, J. W., Rice, R., Meng, X., Cayan, D. R., Dettinger, M. D., Alden, D., Patel, S. C., Mason, M. A., Conklin, M. H., and Bales, R. C., 2019: Climate, snow, and soil moisture data set for the Tuolumne and Merced river watersheds, California, USA. Earth Sys. Sci. Data, 11, 101-110, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-11-101-2019

Rutz, J. J., Shields, C. A., Lora, J. M., Payne, A. E., Guan, B., Ullrich, P., et al, 2019: The Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP): Quantifying Uncertainties in Atmospheric River Climatology. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124, 13777-13802, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD030936

Shields, C. A., Rutz, J. J., Leung, L.-Y., Ralph, F. M., Wehner, M., O'Brien, T., and R. Pierce, 2019: Defining Uncertainties Through Comparison of Atmospheric River Tracking Methods. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 100(2), ES93-ES96, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0200.1

Sun, R., A.C. Subramanian, A.J. Miller, M.R. Mazloff, I. Hoteit, and B.D. Cornuelle, 2019: SKRIPS v1.0: a regional coupled ocean–atmosphere modeling framework (MITgcm–WRF) using ESMF/NUOPC, description and preliminary results for the Red Sea. Geosci. Model Dev., 12, 4221-4244, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-4221-2019

Vano, J.A., Dettinger, M., Cifelli, R., Curtis, D., Dufour, A., Miller, K., Olsen, J.A., Wilson, A.M., 2019: Hydroclimatic Extremes as Challenges for the Water Management Community: Lessons from Oroville Dam and Hurricane Harvey. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100(1), S1-S6, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0219.1

Zhang, Z., D.W. Pierce, and D.R. Cayan, 2019: A Deficit of Seasonal Temperature Forecast Skill over West Coast Regions in NMME. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 833-848, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-18-0172.1

Zhang, Z., Ralph, F. Martin, & Zheng, M., 2019: The Relationship between Extratropical Cyclone Strength and Atmospheric River Intensity and Position. Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 1814– 1823. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079071

Cannon, F., C. Hecht, J. Cordeira, and F.M. Ralph, 2018: Synoptic to Mesoscale Forcing of Extreme Precipitation in Southern California. Journal of Geophysical Research – Atmospheres, 123, 13,714–13,730, DOI: 10.1029/2018JD029045

Cordeira J. M., M. M. Neureuter, and L. D. Kelleher, 2018: Atmospheric rivers and National Weather Service watches, warnings, and advisories issued over California 2007-2016. Journal of Operational Meteorology. 6 (8), 87-94, doi: https://doi.org/10.15191/nwajom.2018.0608

DeFlorio, M., D. Waliser, B. Guan, D. Lavers, F.M. Ralph, and F. Vitart, 2018: Global assessment of atmospheric river prediction skill. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 19, 409-426. click here for personal use pdf file

Dettinger, M. D., F.M. Ralph, and J.J. Rutz, 2018: Empirical Return Periods of the Most Intense Vapor Transports during Historical Atmospheric River Landfalls on the US West Coast. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 19, 1363-1377, https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JHM-D-17-0247.1

Espinoza, V., D.E. Waliser, B. Guan, D. Lavers, and F.M. Ralph, 2018: Global Analysis of Climate Change Projection Effects on Atmospheric Rivers. Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 4299-4308. click here for personal use pdf file

Flint, L.E., A.L. Flint, J. Mendoza, J. Kalansky, and F.M. Ralph, 2018: Characterizing drought in California: new drought indices and scenario-testing in support of resource management. Ecological Processes, 7:1. doi:10.1186/s13717-017-0112-6. click here for personal use pdf file

Guan, B., D. Waliser, and F. Ralph, 2018: An inter-comparison between reanalysis and dropsonde observations of the total water vapor transport in individual atmospheric rivers. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 19, 321-337. click here for personal use pdf file

Guirguis, K., A. Gershunov, R. E. S. Clemesha, T. Shulgina, A. C. Subramanian, & F. M. Ralph, 2018: Circulation Drivers of Atmospheric Rivers at the North American West Coast. Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 12,576–12,584. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079249

Henn, B., T.H. Painter, K.J. Bormann, B. McGurk, A.L. Flint, L.E. Flint, V. White, and J.D. Lundquist, 2018: High-elevation evapotranspiration estimates during drought: Using streamflow and NASA airborne snow observatory SWE observations to close the upper Tuolumne river basin water balance. Water Resources Research, 54. doi:10.1002/2017WR020473. click here for personal use pdf file

Lavers, D.A., M.J. Rodwell, D.S. Richardson, F.M. Ralph, J.D. Doyle, C.A. Reynolds, V. Tallapragada, and F. Pappenberger, 2018: The Gauging and Modeling of Rivers in the Sky. Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 7828–7834, doi:10.1029/2018GL079019. click here for personal use pdf file

Lamjiri, M. A, Dettinger, M. D, Ralph, F. M, Oakley, N. S, & Rutz, J. J. (2018). Hourly Analyses of the Large Storms and Atmospheric Rivers that Provide Most of California’s Precipitation in Only 10 to 100 Hours per Year. San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science. 16(4). Retrieved from https://escholarship.org/uc/item/3jr7z162

Martin, A., F.M. Ralph, R. Demirdjian, L. DeHaan, R. Weihs, J. Helly, D. Reynolds, and S. Iacobellis, 2018: Evaluation of Atmospheric River Predictions by the WRF Model Using Aircraft and Regional Mesonet Observations of Orographic Precipitation and Its Forcing. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 19, 1097-1113, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-17-0098.1

Nardi, K., E. Barnes, and F. Ralph, 2018: Assessment of Numerical Weather Prediction Model Re-Forecasts of the Occurrence, Intensity, and Location of Atmospheric Rivers along the West Coast of North America. Mon. Wea. Rev., 146, 3343-3362, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-18-0060.1

Nash, D., Waliser, D., Guan, B., Ye, H., & Ralph, M. (2018): The Role of Atmospheric Rivers in Extratropical and Polar Hydroclimate. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 123, 6804–6821, https://doi.org/10.1029/2017JD028130

Oakley, N.S., F. Cannon, E. Boldt, J. Dumas, and F.M. Ralph, 2018: Origins and variability of extreme precipitation in the Santa Ynez River Basin of Southern California. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies., 19, 164-176, DOI:10.1016/j.ejrh.2018.09.001.

Oakley, N., J. Cannon, F., Munroe, R., Lancaster J., Gomberg D., and Ralph F.M., 2018: Brief communication: Meteorological and climatological conditions associated with the 9 January 2018 post-fire debris flows in Montecito and Carpinteria, California, USA. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 3037-3043, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-3037-2018

Oakley, N., J. Lancaster, B. Hatchett, J. Stock, F. Ralph, S. Roj, and S. Lukashov, 2018: A 22-year climatology of cool season hourly precipitation thresholds conducive to shallow landslides in California. Earth Interactions, 22:14, 1-17, doi:10.1175/EI-D-17- 0029.1

Ralph, F.M., M.D. Dettinger, M.M. Cairns, T.J. Galarneau, and J. Eylander, 2018: Defining “Atmospheric River”: How the Glossary of Meteorology Helped Resolve a Debate. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99, 837-839, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0157.1

Sellars, S., 2018: "Grand Challenges" in big data and the earth sciences. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99, ES95-ES98, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0304.1

Shields, C. A., Rutz, J. J., Leung, L.-Y., Ralph, F. M., Wehner, M., Kawzenuk, B., Lora, J. M., McClenny, E., Osborne, T., Payne, A. E., Ullrich, P., Gershunov, A., Goldenson, N., Guan, B., Qian, Y., Ramos, A. M., Sarangi, C., Sellars, S., Gorodetskaya, I., Kashinath, K., Kurlin, V., Mahoney, K., Muszynski, G., Pierce, R., Subramanian, A. C., Tome, R., Waliser, D., Walton, D., Wick, G., Wilson, A., Lavers, D., Prabhat, Collow, A., Krishnan, H., Magnusdottir, G., and Nguyen, P., 2018: Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP): Project Goals and Experimental Design, Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 2455–2474, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-295

Viale, M., Valenzuela, R., Garreaud, R.D., and Ralph, F.M., 2018: Impacts of Atmospheric Rivers on Precipitation in Southern South America. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 19, 1671-1687, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-18-0006.1

Albano, C.M., M.D. Dettinger, and C.E. Soulard, 2017: Influence of atmospheric rivers on vegetation productivity and fire patterns in the southwestern U.S. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 122, 308-323. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016JG003608. click here for personal use pdf file

Cannon, F., F.M. Ralph, A.M. Wilson, and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2017: GPM Satellite Radar Measurements of Precipitation and Freezing Level in Atmospheric Rivers: Comparison with Ground-Based Radars and Reanalyses. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 122. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JD027355. click here for personal use pdf file

Cordeira, J.M., F.M. Ralph, A. Martin, N. Gaggini, R. Spackman, P.J. Neiman, J. Rutz, and R. Pierce, 2017: Forecasting atmospheric rivers during CalWater 2015. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98(3), 449-459, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00245.1. click here for personal use pdf file

Gershunov, A., T. Shulgina, F. M. Ralph, D. A. Lavers, and J. J. Rutz, 2017: Assessing the climate-scale variability of atmospheric rivers affecting western North America. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, doi:10.1002/2017GL074175. click here for personal use pdf file

Guan, B., and D.E. Waliser, 2017: Atmospheric rivers in 20 year weather and climate simulations: A multi-model, global evaluation. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 122, 5556-5581. click here for personal use pdf file

Hatchett, B.J., B. Dudert, N.S. Oakley, A.E. Putnam, and A.B. White, 2017: Winter Snow Level Rise in the Northern Sierra Nevada from 2008 to 2017. Water, 9, 899. doi:10.3390/w9110899. click here for personal use pdf file

Hatchett, B.J., S. Burak, J.J. Rutz, N.S. Oakley, E.H. Bair, and M.L. Kaplan, 2017: Avalanche fatalities during atmospheric river events in the western United States. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18, 1359-1374. click here for personal use pdf file

Hecht, C.W. and J.M. Cordeira, 2017: Characterizing the Influence of Atmospheric River Orientation and Intensity on Precipitation Distributions over North-Coastal California. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, doi: 10.1002/2017GL074179. click here for personal use pdf file

Hu, H., F. Dominguez, Z. Wang, D.A. Lavers, G. Zhang, and F.M. Ralph, 2017: Linking atmospheric river hydrological impacts on the U.S. West Coast to Rossby wave breaking. Journal of Climate, 30, 3381-3389, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0386.1. click here for personal use pdf file

Konrad, C.P. and M.D. Dettinger, 2017: Flood runoff in relation to water vapor transport by atmospheric rivers over the Western US, 1949-2015 Geophysical Research Letters, 44. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL075399. click here for personal use pdf file

Lamjiri, M.A., M.D. Dettinger, F.M. Ralph, and B. Guan, 2017: Hourly Storm Characteristics along the U.S. West Coast: Role of Atmospheric Rivers in Extreme Precipitation. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, doi:10.1002/2017GL074193. click here for personal use pdf file

Martin, A. C., G. C. Cornwell, S. A. Atwood, K. A. Moore, N. Rothfuss, H. Taylor, P. J. DeMott, S. M. Kreidenweiss, M. D. Petters, and K. A. Prather, 2017: Transport of Pollution to a Remote Coastal Site during Gap Flow from California’s Interior: Impacts on Aerosol Composition, Clouds and Radiative Balance, Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 17, 1491–1509, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-1491-2017. click here for personal use pdf file

Oakley, N.S., J.T. Lancaster, M.L. Kaplan, and F.M. Ralph, 2017: Synoptic conditions associated with cool season post-fire debris flows in the Transverse Ranges of southern California. Natural Hazards, 88, 327, doi:10.1007/s11069-017-2867-6. click here for personal use pdf file

Paltan, H., D. Waliser, W.H. Lim, B. Guan, D. Yamazaki, R. Pant, and S. Dadson, 2017: Global floods and water availability driven by atmospheric rivers. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, doi:10.1002/2017GL074882. click here for personal use pdf file

Polade S.D., A. Gershunov, D.R. Cayan, M.D. Dettinger, and D.W. Pierce, 2017: Precipitation in a warming world: Assessing projected hydro-climate changes in California and other Mediterranean climate regions. Scientific Reports 7: 10783, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-11285-y

Ralph, F.M., M. Dettinger, D. Lavers, I.V. Gorodetskaya, A. Martin, M. Viale, A.B. White, N. Oakley, J. Rutz, J.R. Spackman, H. Wernli, and J. Cordeira, 2017: Atmospheric rivers emerge as a global science and applications focus. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98(9), 1969-1973, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0262.1. click here for personal use pdf file

Ralph, F.M., and T. Galarneau, 2017: The Chiricahua Gap and the Role of Easterly Water Vapor Transport in Southeastern Arizona Monsoon Precipitation. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18, 2511-2520. click here for personal use pdf file

Ralph, F., S. Iacobellis, P. Neiman, J. Cordeira, J. Spackman, D. Waliser, G. Wick, A. White, and C. Fairall, 2017: Dropsonde Observations of Total Integrated Water Vapor Transport within North Pacific Atmospheric Rivers. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18, 2577-2596. click here for personal use pdf file

Sellars, S.L., B. Kawzenuk, P. Nguyen, F.M. Ralph, and S. Sorooshian, 2017: Genesis, pathways, and terminations of intense global water vapor transport in associated with large-scale climate patterns. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, doi:10.1002/2017GL075495. click here for personal use pdf file

Waliser, D., and B. Guan, 2017: Extreme winds and precipitation during landfall of atmospheric rivers. Nature Geoscience, 10(3), 179-183. click here for personal use pdf file

Young, A.M., K.T. Skelly, and J. Cordeira, 2017: High-impact hydrologic events and atmospheric rivers in California: An investigation using the NCEI Storm Events Database. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, doi:10.1002/2017GL073077. click here for personal use pdf file

Dettinger, M.D., 2016: Historical and future relations between large storms and droughts in California. San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, 14(2). doi:10.15447/sfews.2016v14iss2art2. click here for personal use pdf file

Guan, B., D.E. Waliser, F.M. Ralph, E.J. Fetzer and P.J. Neiman, 2016: Hydrometeorological characteristics of rain-on-snow events associated with atmospheric rivers. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 2964-2973. doi:10.1002/2016GL067978. click here for personal use pdf file

Lavers, D.A., D.E. Waliser, F.M. Ralph and M.D. Dettinger, 2016: Predictability of horizontal water vapor transport relative to precipitation: Enhancing situational awareness for forecasting Western U.S. extreme precipitation and flooding. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 2275-2282. doi:10.1002/2016GL067765. click here for personal use pdf file

Neiman, P.J., B.J. Moore, A.B. White, G.A. Wick, J. Aikins, D.L. Jackson, J.R. Spackman and F.M. Ralph, 2016: An airborne and ground-based study of a long-lived and intense atmospheric river impacting California during the CalWater-2014 Early-Start field campaign. Monthly Weather Review, 144, 1115-1144. doi:10.1175/MWR-D-15-0319.1. click here for personal use pdf file

Ralph, F.M., J.M. Cordeira, P.J. Neiman and M. Hughes, 2016: Extreme Daily Precipitation in the Northern California Upper Sacramento River Watershed Requires a Combination of a Landfalling Atmospheric River and a Sierra Barrier Jet. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 17, 1904-1915. doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-15-0167.1 click here for personal use pdf file

Ralph, F.M., K. Prather, D. Cayan, J.R. Spackman, P. Demott, M. Dettinger, C. Fairall, R. Leung, D. Rosenfeld, S. Rutledge, D. Waliser, A. White, J. Cordeira, A. Martin, J. Helly and J. Intieri, 2016: CalWater Field Studies Designed to Quantify the Roles of Atmospheric Rivers and Aerosols in Modulating U.S. West Coast Precipitation in a Changing Climate. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97(7), 1209-1228, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00043.1. click here for personal use pdf file

Coplen, T.B., P.J. Neiman, A.B. White and F.M. Ralph, 2015: Categorisation of Northern California rainfall for periods with and without a radar bright band using stable isotopes and a novel automated precipitation collector. Tellus B, 67, 1-48. doi:10.3402.tellusb.v67.28574. click here for personal use pdf file

Creamean, J.M., A.P. Ault, A.B. White, P.J. Neiman, F.M. Ralph, P. Minnis and K.A. Prather, 2015: Impact of interannual variations in sources of insoluble aerosol species on orographic precipitation over California’s central Sierra Nevada. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15, 6535-6548. doi:10.5194/acp-15-6535-2015. click here for personal use pdf file

Dettinger, M., 2015: Sturm und Drang -- California’s Remarkable Storm-Drought Connection. Hydrolink, 1, 21-22. click here for personal use pdf file

Dettinger, M.D., F.M. Ralph and D.A. Lavers, 2015: Setting the stage for a global science of atmospheric rivers -- The Scripps Institution of Oceanography International Atmospheric Rivers Workshop; La Jolla, California, 15–17 June 2015. EOS Earth and Space Science News, 96(1). doi:10.1029/2015EO038675. click here for web article

Lavers, D.A., F.M. Ralph, D.E. Waliser, A. Gershunov and M.D. Dettinger, 2015: Climate change intensification of horizontal water vapor transport in CMIP5. Geophysical Research Letters, 42. doi:10.1002/2015GL064672. click here for personal use pdf file

Mahoney, K., F.M. Ralph, K. Wolter, N. Doesken, M. Dettinger, D. Gottas, T. Coleman and A. White, 2015: Climatology of Extreme Daily Precipitation in Colorado and Its Diverse Spatial and Seasonal Variability. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 16, 781-792. doi:10.1175/JHM-D-14-0112.1. click here for personal use pdf file

Rutz, J.J., J.W. Steenburgh and F.M. Ralph, 2015: The Inland Penetration of Atmospheric Rivers over Western North America: A Lagrangian Analysis. Monthly Weather Review, 143, 1924-1944. doi:10.1175/MWR-D-14-00288.1. click here for personal use pdf file

White, A.B., P.J. Neiman, J.M. Creamean, T. Coleman, F.M. Ralph and K.A. Prather, 2015: The Impacts of California’s San Francisco Bay Area Gap on Precipitation Observed in the Sierra Nevada during HMT and CalWater. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 16, 1048–1069. doi:10.1175/JHM-D-14-0160.1. click here for personal use pdf file

Cordeira, J.M., F.M. Ralph, and B.J. Moore, 2013: The development and evolution of two atmospheric rivers in proximity to western North Pacific tropical cyclones in October 2010. Monthly Weather Review, 141, 4234-4255. click here for personal use pdf file

Creamean, J.M., K.J. Suski, D. Rosenfeld, A. Cazorla, P.J. DeMott, R.C. Sullivan, A.B. White, F.M. Ralph, P. Minnis, J.M. Comstock, J.M. Tomlinson, and K.A. Prather, 2013: Dust and biological aerosols from the Sahara and Asia influence precipitation in the western U.S. Science, 339, 1572-1578. click here for personal use pdf file

Das, T., E. P. Maurer, D. W. Pierce, M. D. Dettinger and D. R. Cayan, 2013: Increases in flood magnitudes in California under warming climates. Journal of Hydrology, 501, 101-110. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.07.042 click here for personal use pdf file

Dettinger, M. D., 2013: Atmospheric rivers as drought busters on the US west coast. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 14, 1721-1732. doi:10.1175/JHM-D-13-02.1. click here for personal use pdf file

Dettinger, M. D., and B. L. Ingram, 2013: The coming megafloods. Scientific American, 308(1), 64-71. click here for personal use pdf file

Iacobellis, S. F., and D. R. Cayan, 2013: The variability of California summertime marine stratus: Impacts on surface air temperatures. Journal of Geophysical Research, 118, doi/10.1002/jgrd.50652 click here for personal use pdf file

Kingsmill, D.E., P.J. Neiman, B.J. Moore, M. Hughes, S.E. Yuter, and F.M. Ralph, 2013: Kinematic and thermodynamic structures of Sierra barrier jets and overrunning atmospheric rivers during a land-falling winter storm in northern California. Monthly Weather Review, 141, 2015-2036. click here for personal use pdf file

Matrosov, S. Y., 2013: Characteristics of Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers Inferred from Satellite Observations over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. Monthly Weather Review, 141, 3757–3768. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-12-00324.1 click here for personal use pdf file

Neiman, P. J., M. Hughes, B.J. Moore, F.M. Ralph, and E.S. Sukovich, 2013: Sierra barrier jets, atmospheric rivers, and precipitation characteristics in northern California: A composite perspective based on a network of wind profilers. Monthly Weather Review, 141, 4211-4233, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-13-00112.1 click here for personal use pdf file

Neiman, P. J., F. M. Ralph, B. J. Moore, M. Hughes, K. M. Mahoney, J. M. Cordeira, M. D. Dettinger, 2013: The Landfall and Inland Penetration of a Flood-Producing Atmospheric River in Arizona. Part I: Observed Synoptic-Scale, Orographic, and Hydrometeorological Characteristics. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 14, 460–484, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-12-0101.1 click here for personal use pdf file

Pierce, D.W., T. Das, D.R. Cayan, E.P. Maurer, N.L. Miller, Y. Bao, M. Kanamitsu, K. Yoshimura, M.A. Snyder, L.C. Sloan, G. Franco and M. Tyree, 2013: Probabilistic estimates of future changes in California temperature and precipitation using statistical and dynamical downscaling. Climate Dynamics, 40, 839-856. doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1337-9 click here for personal use pdf file

Ralph, F. M., T. Coleman, P. J. Neiman, R. J. Zamora, M. D. Dettinger, 2013: Observed Impacts of Duration and Seasonality of Atmospheric-River Landfalls on Soil Moisture and Runoff in Coastal Northern California. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 14, 443–459. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-12-076.1 click here for personal use pdf file

Ralph, F. M., and co-authors, 2013: The emergence of weather-related test beds linking research and forecasting operations. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94,1187-1211, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00080.1 click here for personal use pdf file

White, A. B., and co-authors, 2013: A Twenty-First-Century California observing network for monitoring extreme weather events. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 30, 1585-1603, doi:10.1175/JTECH-D-12-00217.1 click here for personal use pdf file

Wick, G.A., P.J. Neiman, and F.M. Ralph, 2013: Description and validation of an automated objective technique for identification and characterization of the integrated water vapor signature of atmospheric rivers. IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, 51, 2166-2176. click here for personal use pdf file

Wick, G.A., P.J. Neiman, F.M. Ralph, and T.M. Hamill, 2013: Evaluation of forecasts of the water vapor signature of atmospheric rivers in operational numerical weather prediction models. Weather and Forecasting, 28, 1337-1352. click here for personal use pdf file